CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Feb 6, 2013 18:40:32 GMT -5
A chart to show how solid our D has been for the full 35 seconds… I saw this over at Casual Hoya. I suppose I'm the only one that is bothered by the fact that the last column (overall defensive PPP) is clearly wrong - or I'm just not understanding the table.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Feb 4, 2013 15:59:39 GMT -5
It's a little deceptive to just compare that 104.5 mark to the national average. Many teams with high efficiency ratings that have bulked up their numbers by beating up on cupcakes. Which is what we normally do too except this year we decided to score 46 points against Towson or whatever. That said, 104.5 in the BE would be pretty solid and would be better than what last year's team posted in conference. Actually, it would compare favorably to any team we've had in last few years other than the 09-10 which put up a 110 mark in conference. Of course they couldn't guard anyone either which came back to bite us when Ohio gave us 97 points and took five years off my life. A couple of points: - the adjusted stats are supposed to account for beating up on cupcakes (you can argue about the system's ability to do it, but Ken Pomeroy recently defended ( link) his - and therefore HP's - method). - by rank (9th in the Big East), the Hoyas are indeed playing offense just about as well as the past two years. By actual scoring efficiency, this is the worst performance in conference since I've been keeping track. The Big East is just more of a defensive league this year. Georgetown's adj. off. efficiency: Season aOE (rank) 2013 104.5 (9th) 2012 109.1 (9th) 2011 112.1 (9th) 2010 118.0 (3rd) 2009 110.0 (11th) 2008 116.7 (4th) 2007 126.3 (1st)
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Feb 4, 2013 13:48:56 GMT -5
I don't know of anywhere that does adjusted conference stats. Umm, HP does ( link). I haz a sad. In conference, Georgetown's adj OE is 104.5, good for 9th.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Jan 22, 2013 13:13:16 GMT -5
Hmmm, maybe I will do that. I won't be able to do adjusted or anything, but we can go back to the mid-80s. At some point, there's no offensive rebounding stats out there, which makes it hard. I've done it - those stats are somewhere on my home computer. If someone reminds me, I can post some tables tonight at HP. If I recall, you can go back to about the 1987-8 season using DFW's stats archive. You can't do the full-blown Ken Pomeroy adjusted method, since you'd need to know the stats for all the other teams as well. But you can look at how well the team played during Big East conf. games. Also based on a hazy memory, the 1990 team statistically was the best Hoyas' team of the past 25 years. Still can't figure out what happened in the post-season that year.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Jan 17, 2013 10:46:56 GMT -5
If I recall, I thought there was some mechanism for an ineligible player to regain eligibility by early March - presumably some sort of mid-term grade reporting. This would make sense in light of JT3's comment that he may play again this season.
Anyone know more?
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Jan 13, 2013 19:59:47 GMT -5
Glad you looked it up, my assumption was the guys came out on fire with a plan and executed it very well. Once the lead was completely entrenched subs like Caprio got used at the end of the half and the offense suffered considerably. Not only would I expect the Hoyas unable to maintain that level of offense under normal circumstances, but add in SJU's awful play ineffective, and it was not surprised the offense got stagnant and settled for FTs and running out the shot clock. No doubt that's a big part of it - hard to separate the natural tendency to relax when you're up 20 points from the general ineptness of the offense. On the other hand, it was nice to have such a lopsided game to get the bench some run - JT3 went 10 deep (gasp!) yesterday.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Jan 13, 2013 19:28:54 GMT -5
I say the is where stats are misleading. We were far better offensively then we had been in over a month. We had a lot of good offensive possessions, shot selection was much better, and we were a lot more aggressive. We weren't consistent for a few different reasons, but we actually had a few stretches of efficient offense which I hadn't seen since November. To say this wasn't a huge improvement offensively from anything we've seen since the Texas game is just inaccurate, IMO. It's probably better to say that Georgetown's offense had two phases in the game: - Over the first 13:30 of the game, the Hoyas scored 33 points in 23 possessions, with one turnover.
- Over the remaining 26:30, the Hoyas scored 34 points in 49 possessions, with 15 turnovers.
Don't think we can expect this G'town team to score at a clip of 1.4+ points per possession, but the second half (0.8 points per possession) was close to Marq/Pitt level.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Jan 4, 2013 15:59:04 GMT -5
The only running story I remember is about Hibbert. Per my rarely reliable memory, Sweetney was in far better cardio shape as a junior than a freshman. There was a big to-do around these parts when Ronny was sitting at Mike's table on draft night with Esherick nowhere to be seen (or mentioned). Ronny definitely busted Sweetney's ass to get him in shape, and was making sure everyone knew it. Here's a nice article talking about it (Sweets weighed 320 lbs as a senior in high school). On the other hand, Sweets only managed 3 reps of the bench press at the draft combine, which sent a few posters off the deep end (I'm thinking RDF in particular went ballistic).
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 31, 2012 10:48:36 GMT -5
To put this in perspective, USC went into the game 4-8, by far the worst record in the Pac-12, which I argue marks them as the front runner for worst team of the major conferences. Mississippi State, which just lost at home to Alabama A&M, says "Hi."
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 22, 2012 15:01:39 GMT -5
Remind me why we care about NJIT this season.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 20, 2012 16:51:40 GMT -5
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 20, 2012 16:42:26 GMT -5
Same author as the first link from Wahoo
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 19, 2012 17:32:22 GMT -5
Where was it a few years ago--maybe the New York Times--where there was a study attempting to quantify which college football programs actually had the most fans across the country? I don't have the time at the moment to Google around for it. LMGTFY: link
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 18, 2012 17:16:21 GMT -5
From what I understand, the Big East TV contract with ESPN ends this season.
Is there any word on what happens next year? Even if it all shakes out by fall 2014, there seems to be a bridge year to deal with.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 16, 2012 16:40:40 GMT -5
Why would you be shocked? As a Georgetown grad, I guess I'm guess inured by experiencing years (now decades) of risk-averse management.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 16, 2012 16:33:04 GMT -5
Does St Mary's have another gym to play big games in? Their home gym is basically mcdonough. Sure, right here: about 20 miles up the road (and half that as the crow flies). Just gotta pay the man. I'd think they could schedule 3 to 6 home games there without bankrupting their athletic department. Having said all this, I'd be shocked if St. Mary's or Gonzaga ends up in the same conference as Georgetown. Too risky for all parties, regardless of the potential benefit.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 16, 2012 14:11:46 GMT -5
This seems like a pretty huge assumption to me. Never stopped me before
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 16, 2012 13:48:44 GMT -5
To my eye, Moses has one elite skill - offensive rebounding. And on this team, currently ranked about 270th nationally in offensive rebounding, that skill is desperately needed. That is the single biggest reason the offense is struggling this year.
Almost everywhere else, I think Hopkins is the better player. Ayegba could eventually become a plus defender, but right now he is consistently out of position and leaving his feet.
Hopkins just needs to figure it out - it looks 90% mental to me.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 16, 2012 13:42:08 GMT -5
it only saves gonzaga one trip on year while doubling the other 11 schools west coast travel. If you use the PAC-10 or Ivy travel model, it doesn't double travel cost - two eastern teams head out to play Gonzaga/St. Mary's on a Thursday/Saturday. The only problem is that it's about 900 miles from St. Mary's to Gonzaga.
|
|
CO_Hoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,109
|
Post by CO_Hoya on Dec 16, 2012 13:39:03 GMT -5
Grab Xavier and Butler because they're perfect. While I'm sold on Xavier, I still need to be convinced about Butler long-term. Are they a cult-of-personality team, i.e. will they still be a force once Brad Stevens leaves? Because I would expect that Duke will give Stevens whatever he wants to replace Coach K, and that's only a few years down the road. Maybe Butler is bigger than Stevens - I just don't know. In that sense, I think Gonzaga/Few is a more stable pick, but not feasible due to travel and TV market.
|
|