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Post by augustusfinknottle on Feb 16, 2019 10:01:24 GMT -5
Let's try to hold Gillespie, an average guard if there ever was one, under 30. Come to that under 20? His average is 11.6.
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prhoya
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Post by prhoya on Feb 16, 2019 11:47:21 GMT -5
If the NHL is not in town, is it possible for the Hoyas to hold shooting practices at the actual court we are going to play on vs Nova?
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drquigley
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Post by drquigley on Feb 16, 2019 11:50:02 GMT -5
Let's try to hold Gillespie, an average guard if there ever was one, under 30. Come to that under 20? His average is 11.6. Amen. We played these guys even for 33 minutes last time. I expect more of the same this time but also worry who will step up for us in the last 2-3 minutes. When I look at our roster I just don't see hat guy. I had hoped by now it would be Mackinjo but that seems to be a year away. Last year Derrickson could be counted on. Who on this team do we really expect to carry us for those crucial few minutes?
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Post by bigelephant on Feb 16, 2019 14:59:41 GMT -5
Anyone of 5 or 6 players on any given day - it just has to happen against Nova!
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mdtd
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Post by mdtd on Feb 16, 2019 15:29:22 GMT -5
You mean quadrant 1 home win? We have 3 as of now (Providence is 74 and the cap is 75, they're not going to end there imo). In fact, if we are to make a late run to and up the bubble, it will be because of our quadrant 1 record. Right now, we are 3-4 with a NET of 79. Going all the way up to a NET ranking of 30, here are the teams with either more Q1 wins or the same with fewer losses: 75. Arizona St (4-1) 51. Indiana (4-8) 49. St John's (4-4) 44. Ohio St. (4-5) 35. Texas (4-6) That's it!! It just shows how bad the bubble is. Exactly what I've been trying to say the whole time. There's hope but not a great one. But, this team has done well in q1 games. If a run happens, anything can happen. I'm not expecting it but it's possible. some big wins and we're right there. The bubble can't get much worse and I have Georgetown as the 8th team out. There's a fighting chance, just need to capitalize.
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drquigley
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Post by drquigley on Feb 16, 2019 17:50:44 GMT -5
I'm guessing (hoping?) it is Mackinjo. Those two have shown flashes. If they start hitting 3's it opens it up for Govan and LeBlanc and also makes it easier for Pickett and Malinowski. Face it, these two will be the face of our team for the next few years. They have to grow into the role and doing it against Nova would be a great first step.
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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Feb 16, 2019 19:48:15 GMT -5
You mean quadrant 1 home win? We have 3 as of now (Providence is 74 and the cap is 75, they're not going to end there imo). In fact, if we are to make a late run to and up the bubble, it will be because of our quadrant 1 record. Right now, we are 3-4 with a NET of 79. Going all the way up to a NET ranking of 30, here are the teams with either more Q1 wins or the same with fewer losses: 75. Arizona St (4-1) 51. Indiana (4-8) 49. St John's (4-4) 44. Ohio St. (4-5) 35. Texas (4-6) That's it!! It just shows how bad the bubble is. Good information, but don't forget that losses matter too. For example, Georgetown has four quadrant 2 losses (three of which are home games), and two quadrant 3 losses. In contrast, Texas has four quandrant 2 losses and one quadrant 3 loss. Ohio State only has two quadrant 2 losses, and 1 quadrant three loss. Saint John's has one quadrant 2 loss, and 2 quadrant 3. Indiana has three quadrant 2 losses, but no quadrant three losses. Arizona has four quadrant 2 losses, and one quadrant 3 loss. Again, the teams are pretty close together on this metric, but the losses do matter. The home game against DePaul is quadrant 3, too. So important to win that one.
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drquigley
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Post by drquigley on Feb 17, 2019 13:45:29 GMT -5
Question for the Board. If we beat Nova and Marquette and win one BET game are we in? Even if we lose to Creighton/DePaul/Seton Hall? Conversely, if we lose to Nova and Marquette but win out and win one BET game are we out?
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mdtd
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Post by mdtd on Feb 17, 2019 14:34:41 GMT -5
Question for the Board. If we beat Nova and Marquette and win one BET game are we in? Even if we lose to Creighton/DePaul/Seton Hall? Conversely, if we lose to Nova and Marquette but win out and win one BET game are we out? A loss to Depaul at home would put us out. I think this team almost needs to beat Nova or Marquette to make it though unless that one BE win is a q1. I'd say that would put us squarely on the bubble, but probably on the wrong side. We'd need 2 IMO if 9-9 is what happens. Creighton would be a q1 win and one that now needs to happen for BET seeding as well. For the tournament, we'd probably need to go 2-1 against Marquette, Creighton and Nova, unless we can take Nova or Marquette in the BET.
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kettlehill
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Post by kettlehill on Feb 17, 2019 15:19:39 GMT -5
Always thought we need 10-8 regular season with a win over either MU or V. Which means we need to sweep DePaul, beat SH at home, Creighton in Omaha. Yikes. 10-8 looked a lot more possible before the Butler debacle.
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daveg023
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Post by daveg023 on Feb 17, 2019 19:14:57 GMT -5
We are getting a slumping Nova team!
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Post by grandmahoya on Feb 17, 2019 20:08:23 GMT -5
Just our luck to get Nova after a meltdown at St. John's! We're playing a wounded Rhino... yikes!
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Post by bigelephant on Feb 17, 2019 20:18:30 GMT -5
Just our luck to get Nova after a meltdown at St. John's! We're playing a wounded Rhino... yikes! Just the way we want them - lets make it 2 in a row for them!
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jwp91
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Post by jwp91 on Feb 17, 2019 20:42:06 GMT -5
The bully bleeds!
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calhoya
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Post by calhoya on Feb 17, 2019 21:20:01 GMT -5
Hoyas know they can play with St. John’s and there should be no reason they cannot play with Nova. Need effort, composure under pressure and at least a little defense.
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hoyazeke
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Post by hoyazeke on Feb 18, 2019 13:08:55 GMT -5
Just our luck to get Nova after a meltdown at St. John's! We're playing a wounded Rhino... yikes! This was my thinking exactly....couldn't get lucky enough to catch a over confident Nova....no we get the angry, coming off a loss Nova....smh
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Post by HometownHoya on Feb 18, 2019 13:19:34 GMT -5
TBH, I don't know if Nova's problems are motivation based. They didn't play well in the first game against us and haven't played well since. St.J is just the first team that took advantage. I hope it doesn't all click for Nova on Wednesday but even if it does, I trust our guys to keep up (if we click as well). Lock down Paschall and don't let 3's rain and we will be ok.
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mdtd
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Post by mdtd on Feb 18, 2019 13:46:33 GMT -5
If we let Nova run all of their sets and play at their pace, they will win. If we can speed them up and disrupt their set plays, we will win. It's that simple. That's how St. John's beat them, got them in transition. They need to run their plays to win, they don't have that guy who really can score off of a broken play. Booth and Paschall can be that guy, but IMO aren't consistent in that role.
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thedragon
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Post by thedragon on Feb 18, 2019 13:50:29 GMT -5
With the storm rolling in Wednesday I hope that they reschedule the game.
Typically, if a team can fly in (day before) and the refs can make it - then they play the game. With 5 to 8 inches expected Wednesday that would make for a nearly empty arena im guessing.
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bostonfan
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Post by bostonfan on Feb 18, 2019 13:55:41 GMT -5
If we let Nova run all of their sets and play at their pace, they will win. If we can speed them up and disrupt their set plays, we will win. It's that simple. That's how St. John's beat them, got them in transition. They need to run their plays to win, they don't have that guy who really can score off of a broken play. Booth and Paschall can be that guy, but IMO aren't consistent in that role. Booth and Paschall both had off games shooting the ball. Nova needs at least of them to play well to win most nights. Their role players are good but are not used to carrying the load offensively for them. Gillespie was huge agains the Hoyas the first game, but I would not count on him doing it again. If Nova'a stars play well they will win, if not, the Hoyas have a real chance.
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