HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
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Post by HoyaChris on Jul 10, 2009 8:54:30 GMT -5
I had the pleasure of watching some 70 Thunder games last year and would make the following general comments.
1.) Unless he gets a lot better defensively as a 4, Jeff's best position is as a 3 which presents a clear problem with playing him with Durant. As a 4, Jeff was repeatedly overpowered down low and gave up some big games. Defensively he did well against 3's - and even played quite well against Kobe Bryant . His defensive issue as a 3 is that he can sometimes be beaten by quicker 3's and OKC has absolutely no big man help defensively. Offensively, his game has continued to develop to the point that he poses a problem for either 3's or 4's. As a 3, he is a good rebounder, as a 4 he is sub-standard.
2.) OKC would have been far better off if Thabeet had fallen to the three spot in the draft, because that would have made it much more likely that Jeff and KD could coexist on a longer term basis, since Thabeet would have provided weak side defensive help and more rebounding without needing the ball on offense.
3.) Despite the position conflict between Jeff and KD, the best lineup that OKC put on the floor consisted of Collison at the 5, Jeff at the 4, Durant at the 3, Desmond Mason at the 2 and Westbrook at the 1. This lineup was really effective offensively. This offense was essentially inverted, with both Westbrook and Mason scoring a lot down low, and both must be top 5% offensive rebounders for guards. Durant, Green and Collison all demanded to be guarded on the perimeter and there was a lot of room in the paint. Despite the little winning streak while Durant was out of the lineup, all but one of the best games that OKC played against good teams were with this lineup. Mason is currently unsigned, and with the addition of Harden OKC has a lot of 2's, but I would guess that Mason is probably more valuable in OKC than elsewhere in the league and that he will ultimately be signed (or that Harden has a good post-up game for a guard.)
4.) Durant's game is really developing and he will be a top 5 player in the league. He is so long that he is essentially unguardable and he is a much better player as a 3 where he plays off the ball more, dribbles less and has a killer catch and shoot game. Compared to his rookie season he is a much better passer, makes better decisions and works (somewhat) harder on defense. His rebounding is much improved.
5.) The body language between Jeff and KD is much improved. I had heard from a connected source that they did not like each other much, but they seem to have learned to work together pretty well and the number of smiles between them shot up exponentially as the season progressed.
6.)Jeff's game tailed off a little in the last twenty games. In particular he shot the 3 a lot less well. He was playing with a hurt elbow. Without the injury, he would have likely averaged a full point per game better for the season and would be higher on some people's radar.
7.) I expect that the Thunder will win at least half of their games this season although that will likely leave them outside of the playoffs. I would be surprised if they do not make the playoffs in 2010-11.
8.) I am somewhat ambivalent about Jeff's future in OKC. While the January and February Thunder were as much fun to watch as any young team that I have ever seen, I can't see the Jeff/KD tandem working long term without a dominant defensive big man or a lot better interior defensive development from Jeff. Jeff probably needs to be in a situation where he can be a starting 3, and in that scenario it would not be inconceivable for him to make several all star teams.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on May 29, 2009 14:47:47 GMT -5
I have given a lot of thought to where Jeff would rank in updating the greatest players and offer up this selection that I have written for a reranking of the greatest players of the John Thompson era.
6. Jeff Green (05-07) (6-9) (4, 3, 5) – It is difficult to write history in real time, and in assessing Jeff Green’s place in Hoya history one cannot help but be afflicted by “irrational exuberance” from the Final Four season just past. Multitalented (he could score from all over the floor, rebound, and he may well be the best passer in Hoya history) supremely unselfish and blessed with a great basketball mind, Jeff will likely remain the favorite Hoya of all time for an entire generation of fans for whom he will epitomize the renaissance of Hoya Basketball. At the same time, I am more comfortable assigning Jeff a specific ordinal place on this list – sixth – than I am in assigning any other position other than Patrick’s number one. Said another way, Jeff ‘s early departure for the NBA probably kept him from forcing his way onto a top five list that may be almost permanently unassailable if the very best players are all going to leave before four years. In the following paragraphs I will attempt to place the specifics of Jeff’s Hoya career in the context of each of the top five (Patrick Ewing, Reggie Williams, Sleepy Floyd, Alonzo Mourning and Allen Iverson).
Freshman Year – Jeff burst onto the Big East scene to share the Big East Newcomer of the Year award with UConn’s Rudy Gay, and should probably have been the sole winner of the award. Despite this, his Hoya competition had generally better freshman seasons. Each of Patrick,’ Zo and AI were also Newcomer’s of the Year, each for more nationally significant teams and Sleepy (there was no Big East) might have been the biggest impact freshman in the nation in his first year. Statistically, all but Reggie were better and Reggie’s minutes were restricted on a deep, National Championship team. Reggie’s freshman consolation prize – MVP of the national championship game. Rank: 1.- Patrick; 2.- Sleepy; 3.- Zo; 4. – AI; 5.(tie) – Jeff and Reggie.
Sophomore Year – We tend to remember Jeff’s sophomore year as reflected in his brilliant destruction of Sheldon Williams and Duke, but a not often noted fact about Jeff’s career is that he did not have a particularly strong sophomore year. His three point and free throw shooting percentages and scoring all declined and he often seemed to disappear from the offense. It was at this time that the “Jeff Green is too unselfish” meme began to take shape and there were increasing references to Jeff being a nice complimentary player but not a go-to guy. In contrast, each of the top five had very strong sophomore seasons. Statistically, all but Reggie were much better, and Reggie had essentially identical numbers to Jeff in far fewer minutes and without the three point shot. Rank: 1. AI; 2 Patrick; 3. Zo: 4. Sleepy; 5. Reggie; 6 Jeff.
Junior Year – Jeff’s junior year was really two separate seasons. Through eighteen games, he was averaging the same 12 points as he had in his sophomore year. What was worse was the reality that he had averaged a mere 10 points and 7 shot attempts in the Hoyas five losses up to that point. Far from putting the team on his back, he seemed to be taking a back seat as the Hoyas stood at 3-2 in conference and had fallen completely out of the top 25. Then, almost magically, Jeff reinvigorated his game and became the player his freshman year had foretold he would become – over the next 18 games Jeff played the game at as high a level as any Hoya in the John Thompson era and led the team to its first Final Four since 1985. Over that 18 game stretch Jeff raised his scoring to 17.4 a game – which given the Hoyas’ pace of play was the equivalent of just less than 20 a game – and raised his rebounding, his assists and most of all his leadership as the Hoyas roared to Big East regular season, tournament and NCAA East regional championships. In three of the games – at Villanova, against Notre Dame in the BET and against Vanderbilt in the NCAA round of 16 - Jeff hit game winners, all from half court sets in the last 15 seconds of the game.
One cannot understand the wonder of the three game winners without appreciating the relative scarcity of last second shots to win games during the Thompson era. Looking back through 35 years worth of scores, I would be surprised if there were 25 such shots in the period. Three in the course of 11 games by the same player is other-worldly. Without those shots we (at best) share a BE regular season championship and there is no BET win and no chance to beat North Carolina to get to the Final Four.
Jeff’s third year is right in the mix with the best junior seasons ever. Patrick’s national championship run ranks first and you can probably throw a blanket over the rest. Rank: 1. Patrick; 2.(tie) Reggie, Sleepy; and Jeff; 5. Zo (injured); NA AI.
Senior Year – Rank: 1. Reggie; 2. Patrick; 3. Zo; 4. Sleepy; NA Jeff and AI.
Best Season – Each of the big five were consensus first team All Americans, Patrick three times. Jeff was a third teamer in his last year which, on the basis of full year performance seems about right. Rank: 1. Reggie; 2. AI; 3. Patrick; 4. Zo; 5. Sleepy; 6.) Jeff.
Team Performance - Interestingly, Jeff was the only one of these players to ever miss the NCAA tournament, as a freshman in JTIII’s first year. Use a scale of one point for making the NCAA tournament and one for every NCAA win. Rank: 1. Patrick (19); 2. Reggie (18); 3. Sleepy (10) 3; Zo(10); 5. Jeff (8); 6. AI(7).
Adjusted Scoring – Jeff’s career statistics were obviously depressed by the Hoya’s pace of play and by the missing senior year. Similarly, other Hoyas had missing seasons or games or played parts of their careers without the three point shot. What might the Hoya career scoring list look like if each great Hoya had played a complete career under the current scoring rules and with roughly equivalent possessions? Patrick – Actual points 2184 – No adjustments, although it would have been nice if Big John would have let him take a few more jump shots – Adjusted Total 2184. Reggie – Actual points 2117 – Add 150 points to compensate for the absence of the three point shot until his senior year. One could also add a bunch of points for reduced minutes on the stacked teams of his first two seasons – Adjusted Total 2267. Sleepy – Actual Points 2304 – Add 300 points to compensate for the absence of the three point shot for his whole career – Adjusted Total 2604. Zo – Actual Points 2001 – Add 142 points for the 9 games he missed with injury in his junior year – Adjusted Total 2143. AI – Actual Points 1539 – Add 1852 for hypothetical junior and senior seasons at his sophomore scoring rate – Adjusted Total 3391. Jeff – Actual Points 1339 – Add 201 points (+15%) to bring the Hoya’s number of possessions up to the NCAA median and a further 607 points which would reflect a senior year equivalent to his junior year at this higher possession rate. Rank: 1.) AI(3391); 2. Sleepy(2604); 3. Reggie(2267); 4. Patrick(2184) 5.Jeff(2147); 6. Zo(2143).
Defense – The contrast between the big five and Jeff is most pronounced on defense. Sleepy is second overall in career steals and still ranks as the fourth best defender among this group. Each of Patrick, Zo and AI were multiple Big East Defensive players of the year, and Reggie was also a strong defender. Jeff was good but not great in college. Interestingly, he seems to really be concentrating on his D as a pro. Rank: 1.(tie) Patrick and Zo; 3. AI; 4. Sleepy; 5.Reggie; 6. Jeff.
Big East Player of the Year – Herein lies the best case for Jeff’s inclusion in the top five. Jeff won the Big East Player of the Year award as a junior and would have been the favorite to win it again had he returned as a senior, unless voters had decided to give it to Roy as a senior in a fashion equivalent to the Glenn Davis/Doc Blanchard split for the Heisman among Army running backs in the 1940’s. Other than Patrick, no other Hoya has been a multiple POY year winner, indeed neither Sleepy nor AI even won the award. In context, however, Jeff’s POY award seems less determinative due to the lack of elite talent that he beat out for the award – his biggest competitors were Aaron Gray and Demetrius Nichols, both of whom were only second round draft picks.
NBA Draft Position – 1.(tie) Patrick(1) and AI(1); 3. Zo(2); 4. Reggie(4); 5. Jeff(5); 6. Sleepy(13).
Summary – The Hoyas have produced five consensus All-Americans and those five players hold the top five positions on the list of the greatest Thompson era Hoyas. Through the mid-point of his junior year Jeff Green’s career might barely have qualified him for the top fifteen. The second half of his junior season, replete with a spectacular run of game winning shots, catapulted him over a strong group of four year Hoyas to just outside the top five. A second POY year would have forced his way at least past AI and possibly higher on the all time Hoya list.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on May 22, 2009 4:28:50 GMT -5
Thank you for beating me to the punch. I wasn't born during that era but I do know of Houston's history with Elvin Hayes and the classic games the program had against UCLA. People need to study up on their hoops history. There's a few posts about this referring to my response to Pope. I believe his point (although it is sometimes hard to tell since he often changes it) had to do with high draft picks coming from high major CONFERENCES......he mentioned nothing about the quality or history of team. I am well aware of the history of Houston having some great teams and players in the past. I am also well aware of the fame David Robinson achieved. However, unless I am mistaken about Houston (which if I am, I will take the blame there), neither Navy nor the University of Houston are or were in high major conferences. If the point was that high draft picks only came from successful programs, then clearly Houston would be out of the discussion when talking about the Olajuwon era and before. However, the discussion was about conferences.......not teams. I know this discussion is over, but I just read all the responses to what I posted and needed to clarify. Again, if Houston was in a conference that was considered a high major at the time Olajuwon, etc. were there, then I clearly goofed.......however, despite the fact David Robinson was on 60 Minutes, he still played for Navy in a low level conference. If you take away all the great players on teams from lower level conferences because they were famous and great.......that is a pretty strange way to make a case for what you are saying. How about Adonal Foyle? He was drafted #8 overall out of Colgate.......did he make an appearance on The View so he doesn't count either? Despite a long career in the league, I don't think anyone could make a very good argument that he has earned that #8 pick......especially since Tracy McGrady was taken #9 that year. No one knows where anyone would be drafted if they had played for a different team. However, I think there is plenty of evidence that players from conferences of all levels can get drafted high if they are good enough.......or at least thought to be good enough. If nothing else, I guess this is another post to add to the page totals.....sorry to be so late in responding, but topics change pretty quick in this thread!! The Olajuwon Houston teams played in the since broken up Southwest conference along with (among others) Texas, Texas A&M and SMU. It was definitely a high major conference although most of its schools were better known for their football programs.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Apr 2, 2009 5:28:14 GMT -5
Random memories of 1984.
I was there. For whatever reasons the sight lines in the Kingdome were much better than the sight lines in the other two domes in New Orleans and Atlanta.
Ran into Dick Vitale walking into the Kingdome. We reminded him of the great game in McDonough against Detroit - he was the former coach and then AD - and he reminded us about blowing us out at their place the subsequent year.
My memories of the semi are crisper than of the final which happens - I think - with near death experiences. We were getting beaten pretty badly in the first half by Kentucky and Patrick had gotten a couple early fouls. Late in the half we scored a couple of baskets, the last one pretty close to the buzzer on a play where Michael Jackson drove and dished off to Michael Graham for a slam. Side note, Michael Jackson never penetrated.
The second half of that game was my favorite twenty minutes of Georgetown basketball ever as Kentucky could not score for more than ten minutes. Our defense was otherworldly.
We went to a brunch at the Hoya fan hotel the next morning and spent about 3 hours watching the TV replay of the game. That was back when Billy Packer was on the top of his game and his analysis of the game was really crisp. His thoughts on the impending disaster for Kentucky when Jim Master went to man defense against David Wingate are hillarious.
The remarkable thing about the final was the high level of offensive execution in a game without a shot clock and with two dominant defensive centers. Reggie was brilliant in repeatedly slashing to the basket.
I could only stay at the victory party for about twenty minutes because I had to catch the redeye back to Chicago to close on a co-op the next morning. Missing the subsequent three hours of that party is one of my life's greatest regrets. On the plane my seat was next to Dana Kirk the then coach of VCU (and later convicted for tax evasion for funneling money to players at Memphis). He wiShut uplly spoke of what it must be like to coach players as talented as John Thompson's which is pretty ironic since he later went to jail for buying them.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 28, 2009 21:43:43 GMT -5
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 28, 2009 9:40:05 GMT -5
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 18, 2009 15:48:02 GMT -5
Like a lemming to the sea I am off to the game. My expectations are so low that if we win I will be really happy.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 16, 2009 18:48:03 GMT -5
Georgetown and the coaching staff are showing amazing restraint in not offering a more accurate view of what actually happened.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 15, 2009 20:32:12 GMT -5
Discuss. 6 seed. Away game - in HoyaChris' and DFW's back yard. (Everything in Texas is right next to everything else, right?) Higher seeded teams host more games (per CM Newton, NIT selection committee chair). On the ESPNU selection show, Adrian Branch (former Terp) picks Baylor to come out of this bracket because "they are hot." Only 90 miles away ;D ;D ;D
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 15, 2009 19:38:33 GMT -5
I'd be more concerned for Jeff if he wasn't in such great shape His draft camp numbers are still incredible and before he went out a couple of weeks ago he had played in over 90 straight games. Jeff will be fine, everyone gets injured from time to time I don't think conditioning will necessarily save him, since it is relatively hard to prepare one's back for repeated contact. Jeff has been a Sportscenter highlight 4 or 5 times this year and it has all been the same sort of dunk - a ball extended fly in from about 10 feet from the basket. In that position, he is extremely vulnerable to contact with his arm, which has a strong tendency to flip him over onto his back.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 15, 2009 19:19:11 GMT -5
Among the teams seeded 1, 2 or 3 in their NCAA brackets, there were a total of 66 losses.
The teams with the most number of wins against that group were:
5 wins - Louisville 4 wins - GEORGETOWN 3 wins - Pitt, UConn, Nova, Syracuse, North Carolina 2 wins - Providence, West Va., BC, Wake, Xavier, Missouri, Kansas, Maryland, Texas. 1 win - 24 teams
Of the teams with multiple wins, all but Providence and the Hoyas will be playing in the tournament.
I will now return to my regularly scheduled suicide.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 15, 2009 9:52:45 GMT -5
I am starting to really worry about Jeff's career because he is taking a tremendous physical beating - he recently sat out four games because of back spasms.
His scoring has gone up as he has become much more aggressive going to the basket but the downside is that he is enduring an unsustainable amount of contact. Last night he was knocked down five times and on four of the drives he landed on his back.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 8, 2009 10:43:05 GMT -5
1. Because the essence of being a fan is hope. 2. Because inconsistency works in two directions and we just might catch an up wave. 3. Because we caught as good a draw as we could possibly expect. 4. Because I have been going to the BET with my friends for 30 years and I am not about to give that up. 5. Becuse incessant whining is not an acceptable option.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 7, 2009 22:07:55 GMT -5
After De Paul:
Dajuan has 1101 points. Jesse has 942 points. Austin has 629 points. Chris has 454 points. Greg has 378 points.
Jesse feels a long way from 1000. If he gets there, it will likely mean that something good happened in the post-season.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 5, 2009 19:23:11 GMT -5
Why?
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 5, 2009 7:47:52 GMT -5
If all three of Syracuse, Providence and West virginia lose their last games then Providence would be the sixth seed by virtue of their win over Pitt.
If only one of the three win then the winner is obviously sixth. Otherwise if two of three win then, among the winners:
Providence would finish ahead of Syracuse; Syracuse would finish ahead of West Virginia and; West Virginia would finish ahead of Providence.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 1, 2009 19:49:56 GMT -5
While DFW's update is currently correct - i.e. we are currently in 12th - two more wins almost certainly would make us the 11 seed.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Mar 1, 2009 8:07:53 GMT -5
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 28, 2009 23:51:45 GMT -5
The Cincinnati/Syracuse game tomorrow is shaping up as a critical game for seeding, because if form holds, there would be a four way tie for sixth and one would have to look to the mini-conference results to determine the six through nine seeds.
As I see it,
Providence wins at Rutgers but loses at Villanova to finish at 10-8.
Syracuse beats Cincinnati and Rutgers at home but loses at Marquette to finish at 10-8.
West Virginia loses to Louisville at home but beats De Paul at home and South Florida on the road to finish at 10-8.
Cincinnati loses at Syracuse but beats South Florida on the road and De Paul at home to finish at 10-8.
Were these results to transpire, the mini-conference standings would be
Providence 3-1 for the sixth seed by virtue of its two wins over Cincinnati.
Syracuse 2-1 for the seventh seed.
West Virginia 1-2 for the eighth seed.
Cincinnati 1-3 for the ninth seed.
Cincinnati needs tomorrow badly from an NCAA perspective as well as avoiding playing on Tuesday.
The only reason any of this will matter is if the Hoyas win their next two, in which case the 11 seed is the overwhelming likelihood. Right now, the most likely #6 looks like Providence.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 28, 2009 14:42:09 GMT -5
We are most likely the 11 seed.
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