HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 28, 2013 5:49:37 GMT -5
Pomeroy expected wins after Wednesday's games.
Hoyas 14.03 Louisville 13.30 Marquette 13.11 Syracuse 11.91 Pitt 11.78 ND 11.19 UConn 10.80 Nova 9.55 Prov. 8.86 St Johns 8.77 Cinn 8.69 Rutgers 4.69 S. Hall 3.86 De Paul 2.55 S. Fla 1.91
Hoyas expected win percentage by game, Rutgers .92, At Nova .57, Syracuse .54.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 27, 2013 22:35:24 GMT -5
Late in double overtime, Otto knocked the ball out of bounds with 3 seconds left on the 10 second clock. D'Vauntes then knocked the ball out of bounds with 24 seconds left on the shot clock or 11 seconds into the 10 second count. Isn't that a ten second call since UConn never got the ball across the time line? I thought that the ten second clock only reset on a time out?
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 26, 2013 3:29:30 GMT -5
Updated Pomeroy expected wins as of Tuesday a.m.
Hoyas 13.53 Louisville 13.22 Marquette 13.11 Syracuse 11.92 Pitt 11.74 UConn 11.29 ND 11.19 Nova 9.56 Prov. 8.86 St Johns 8.77 Cinn. 8.69 Rutgers 4.69 S. Hall 3.86 De Paul 2.63 USF 1.94
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 26, 2013 0:13:35 GMT -5
Anybody remember Terrance Mullin? Terrance didn't have his brother's jump shot, but he certainly had his brother's complexion.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 25, 2013 1:36:35 GMT -5
Stipulating in advance that some of you don't care (and that you haven't violated the 20 post limit on telling us how much you don't care) Pomeroy expected wins after Sunday's games.
Hoyas 13.52 Louisville 13.21 Marquette 12.57 Syracuse 12.46 Pitt 11.74 UConn 11.29 ND 11.20 Nova 10.15 Providence 8.87 St Johns 8.77 Cinn. 8.69 Rutgers 4.70 Seton Hall 3.25 De Paul 2.63 USF 1.94
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 24, 2013 14:35:44 GMT -5
My comparison of Otto to Reggie.
Things that are very similar.
Size and build. Both play taller than their listed height. Both have relatively small heads and shortish necks, the effect of which is to make their shoulders higher than others with the same listed height. For example check out Otto's shoulders next to Mikael's. Both players have long arms.
Both players have very soft shots and get a lot of rolls around the basket.
Both players are good position defenders with quick hands.
They are similar as rebounders.
Things at which Otto is better:
I beleive that Otto is a slightly better shooter from 3 point distance and from mid-range. Reggies inability to hit the NBA 3 consistently was probably the thing that stopped him from having a great NBA career.
Things at which Reggie was better.
Reggie was a better ballhandler than Otto is today,
Reggie had a significantly larger repertoire of moves around the hoop.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 23, 2013 20:21:08 GMT -5
Wonder if Kenpom will still have Cuse as the favorite at Verizon. I'm guessing that the math will give Georgetown a 55-57% chance of winning the game. Of course the math does not have Otto Porter.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 22, 2013 19:47:54 GMT -5
I have excerpted this from my 50 Greatest Hoyas post from 7 years ago.
25. Perry McDonald (85-88) (6-4) (5, 4, 3, 2) - If a book was written about the Georgetown-Syracuse rivalry during the 1980's, the only appropriate title would be "Only the Ball was Orange." Georgetown-Syracuse was as big then as Duke-NC is today with every single game on national TV and with the Hoyas generally coming out on top. Between 1978-79 and 1988-89 the Hoyas were 20-10 verses the Orange who were generally ranked and often ranked higher than the Hoyas.
Among the highlights of the rivalry:
In 1979 Ed Spriggs and Jeff Bullis come off the bench to spell a foul plagued Hoya front line and the Hoyas upset the 6th ranked orange in an NCAA play in game. In 1980, the Hoyas rally from a double digit second half deficit to end the nation's longest home winning streak at 57 in the last game played at Manley Field House. John Thompson declares that "Manley Field House is officially closed" endearing himself to Orange fans everywhere. In 1981 the Hoyas lose to the Orange in the Big East semi-final, played at the new Carrier Dome, but still get an NCAA invite. Despite winning the tournament, the Orange stay home. In 1984, 1987 and 1989 Georgetown beats Syracuse in the Big East final. The 1984 final features a quasi-brawl between Michael Graham and Syracuse's Andre Hawkins. At the press conference after the game, Jim Boeheim throws a chair. In 1988, Charles Smith goes end to end at the buzzer to beat Syracuse at the dome and runs straight down the tunnel in celebration. (We will avoid mention of the 1990 game in which Sam Jefferson sets the Hoya record for Foul-Stupidest when he inexplicably grabs at Billy Owens 45 feet away from the basket as time expires. Owens two free throws send the game into overtime and the Orange win.)
No year better exemplified the frustration of Syracuse fans than 1987. To be fair, Syracuse did make the national final that year, losing to Indiana when they forgot how to call time out after going down late in the game. That Syracuse team was loaded with Sherman Douglas, Rony Seikaly, and Derek Coleman. And that Syracuse team lost to Reggie and the Miracles three times. Against Syracuse no Miracle came up bigger than Perry McDonald.
Perry McDonald was listed on the Hoya roster as a 6-4 guard and came to the hilltop as the leading scorer in New Orleans high school history. In his first two seasons he struggled to find a role as a shooting guard, a role for which he was ill-fitted since he had significant difficulty hitting outside shots. In 1986-87, his junior year, he was reincarnated as a low post presence to great success. His signature move was catching the ball about 12 feet from the basket in the lane, taking one large step and launching his body towards the basket, taking contact and laying the ball in high off the glass. He was also an exceptional offensive rebounder and scored a large number of points on follows. He averaged 13.0 as a junior and made second team Big East, and then finished his career with a 10.1 ppg senior season.
Perry's most visible victim was 6-11 Syracuse center Rony Seikaly. During the "Miracles" year, McDonald had three big games against Seikaly, who was in constant foul trouble. In his best game, an 83-81 win, he scored a career high 23 points including the winning basket at the buzzer. Matched up with McDonald, Seikaly resembled nothing so much as a cartoon elephant confronted by a mouse. By the Big East tournament Seikaly was actively avoiding contact with McDonald and the Hoyas won easily in the final.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 22, 2013 13:34:25 GMT -5
Pomeroy Projected wins as of Friday Morning
Syracuse 13.39 Louisville 13.13 Marquette 13.11 Hoyas 12.59 Pitt 11.51 UConn 10.94 ND 10.62 Nova 9.68 Cinn. 9.24 St Johns 9.06 Prov. 8.44 Rutgers 5.14 S. Hall 3.26 De Paul 2.96 S. Fla. 1.93
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 22, 2013 12:43:36 GMT -5
JTIII Scoring Leaders (with final year doubled or tripled to just them to four years in parens) Freeman - 1761 Bowman - 1548 Hibbert - 1476 Wright - 1369 Clark - 1361 Green - 1339 (1867) Wallace - 1256 Summers - 1129 (1552) Cook - 1057 Monroe - 942 (2040) Wow, if he had stayed another year, Summers would have likely finished fourth in scoring under three. And Monroe would have had an outside shot at Sleepy, in reality. Of course, if players stayed four years, Sleepy wouldn't have had the record. If Iverson had stayed one more year and scored as many points as he did his final year, he'd have broken Sleepy's record. If he'd stayed four years, he'd have had over 3300 points. Sweetney would have broken Sleepy's record with a senior year similar to his junior year as well. Then again, none of that is surprising when you consider that Iverson set the Georgetown record for most points in a season his sophomore year and Sweetney had the 3rd most points in a season his junior year. Of course if Sleepy had had the three point shot and the shot clock, he would have been good for another 500-600 points easily.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 21, 2013 14:47:54 GMT -5
Updated Pomeroy forecast wins as of Thursday morning.
Syracuse 13.39 Louisville 13.12 Marquette 13.11 Hoyas 12.60 Pitt 11.52 ND 10.62 UConn 10.39 Cinn. 9.76 Vill. 9.67 St Johns 9.05 Providence 8.45 Rutgers 5.14 S. Hall 3.26 De Paul 2.98 S. Fla. 1.94
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 21, 2013 10:54:15 GMT -5
Not funny. I almost threw my laptop across the room.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 19, 2013 4:50:58 GMT -5
Updated Pomeroy anticipated wins as of Tuesday Morning
Syracuse 13.25 Louisville 13.14 Marquette 12.66 Hoyas 12.49 Pitt 11.52 ND 10.67 UConn 10.38 Cinn. 9.72 Nova 9.70 St Johns 8.82 Providence 8.65 Rutgers 5.12 S. Hall 3.66 De Paul 3.05 S. Fla. 2.15
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Markel
Feb 19, 2013 2:32:24 GMT -5
Post by HoyaChris on Feb 19, 2013 2:32:24 GMT -5
It is absurd to argue about a guard accumulating assists in THIS system. As of right now Chris Wright's senior season was an anomaly, and even the numbers Chris put up that year ain't overly impressive. Besides....Chris' assist numbers the season before in his junior year weren't point guard-like either. Personally I think Chris was better at the drive and kickout. I feel Markel is better at driving and finding a teammate inside the paint. I think he is better at the hit-ahead pass too. Nonetheless you can't really tell how true a pg any point guard is in a system which takes the ball out of the hands of the point guard far more than other systems. That is not a criticism (at least not in the context of this discussion); it is merely a fact. That is why III's system was perfect for a guy like Jon Wallace who wasn't much of a dribbler and even less of a creator. And yet somehow plenty of folks here think of him as a great point guard (yes people have used the words "point guard" to describe Jon). Markel wasn't a pure point guard in high school but he was still THE point guard for his team. He both got his points and set up his teammates. Without his scoring ability Georgetown Prep would not have been as competitive. The same thing can be said of Chris when he was at St. John's. If people want to argue over which of the two is better go at it, but I don't get folks who claim that Chris somehow was a true point compared to Markel. That's ridiculous. I loved Jon Wallace as a Hoya, but you are not a great point guard if someone else has to bring the ball up against pressure.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 17, 2013 15:46:19 GMT -5
Even understanding that All Star games are not renowned for their defense, the highlights seemed to feature Washington Generals' level defending.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 17, 2013 15:37:28 GMT -5
Right - that's what I don't get. Even if you take away the other games, what has Syracuse done this year (relative to us) to suggest they should be a favorite against us at Verizon? Just curious why KenPom would rate them that much better than us. Because KenPom's predictions are based strictly on numbers. There's a set formula for computing predictions. Things that can't be measured with a concrete number are not taken into account, and in a team-oriented game like basketball, this seems silly to me. I spend hours on the site, but mostly as a tool to analyze past performance not predict future performance. Also, predicting the outcome of a game that will take place on 3/9 with 5 games in between is pure lunacy. There's a reason Vegas lines don't come out weeks in advance. I'll take a betting line for it's predictive value over KenPom anyday. I read an article last year that said that the oddsmakers had become increasingly reliant on KenPom in setting their initial lines (sorry, no link). The prediction of the outcome of the 3/9 game is not lunacy, it merely reflects the sum of all games played in the NCAA by all teams so far this year. The odds will continue to evolve, and if we continue to play well, we might very well come into the final game as a slight favorite.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 17, 2013 4:46:28 GMT -5
Updated Pomeroy projections for expected wins through Saturday's games.
Marquette is now projected into third place after their Pittsburgh win. Hoyas expected wins edge up to 12.49, exactly tied with Pitt.
Syracuse 13.27 Louisville 13.05 Marquette 12.71 Georgetown 12.49 Pitt 12.49 UConn 10.37 Cinn. 9.79 ND 9.74 Villanova 9.52 St. Johns 8.80 Providence 8.66 Rutgers 5.18 Seton Hall 3.65 De Paul 3.03 South Florida 2.25
Expected likelihood of a Hoya win against
De Paul 92% at Syracuse 21% at UConn 49% Rutgers 90% at Villanova 51% Syracuse 46%
We have more 50/50 games (at UConn and Nova, home against Syracuse) than any other of the contenders.
One final non-Pomeroy thought - watch out for Providence. They had a lot of injuries early, but have now won four in a row and visually they have looked very good in the past few games. They play at Syracuse Wednesday, and I think they have a real shot at an upset. I would really like to avoid them at the BET.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 16, 2013 13:31:01 GMT -5
I suggest the Grand Hyatt which is 4-5 blocks away from Verizon. It is undergoing renovation - which is a non-issue on a weekend - and you can generally get a very nice weekend room for $110 or so a night. If you have Triple A they will throw in a great breakfast buffet.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 16, 2013 8:04:03 GMT -5
Per this mornings Pomeroy, Hoyas up to 21 in the nation, 5th on defense.
Projected Big East wins:
Pitt 13.20 Syracuse 13.13 Louisville 13.05 Hoyas 12.47 Marquette 11.85 UConn 11.29 ND 10.14 Cinn. 9.70 St. Johns 8.85 Nova 8.69 Prov. 8.11 Rutgers 5.86 Hall 3.89 De Paul 2.54 SFla 2.23
Pitt at Marquette today is a critical game for our Big East Championship hopes as Pitt will be an overwhelming favorite to win the rest of its games. We need a Marquette win.
Obviously we lose a tiebreaker to Pitt, own the tiebreaker against Louisville and control our own destiny vs. Syracuse.
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HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,414
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Post by HoyaChris on Feb 14, 2013 15:17:47 GMT -5
sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-basketball/news/20130213/college-basketball-power-rankings/In our section he states that we have 6th best home court advantage from the refs of major conference teams. I'm frankly shocked. Maybe I'm just that biased, but in my opinion it has always seemed like we never got a fair shake from the refs at home compared to other teams. But statistically apparently this year at least we've gotten a great benefit from the refs. Or I suppose you could argue that we're just getting screwed on the road. This is an incorrect inference from the data provided. We have a home vs road foul differential because the type of teams we have played at home include all of the cupcakes we play plus Tennessee (kind of a cupcake this year) plus 6 Big East Games. Against the non Big East teams we play at a faster pace and are more aggressive offensively. Consequently we are in the bonus much earlier and shoot more foul shots against these teams Because all of our tough out of conference games were on neutral courts which were excluded from the analysis, the sample set for road games consists of 5 Big East games and no cupcakes. Average free throws will always be higher against cupcakes, especially for a team like ours which is not aggressive offensively.
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