HoyaChris
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,408
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Post by HoyaChris on Dec 23, 2015 14:36:48 GMT -5
One thought on DSR.
One thing I have absolutely loved about his game is his willingness to be fouled late in games when we are protecting a lead. And you want him to be fouled because he has been a superb free throw shooter (at least up to this year.) The decline in free throws is because we generally have not been protecting leads in close games.
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SirSaxa
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
Posts: 15,620
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Post by SirSaxa on Dec 23, 2015 15:54:07 GMT -5
One thought on DSR. One thing I have absolutely loved about his game is his willingness to be fouled late in games when we are protecting a lead. And you want him to be fouled because he has been a superb free throw shooter (at least up to this year.) The decline in free throws is because we generally have not been protecting leads in close games. Agree that is ONE reason for the decline in DSR's # of FTs. But I would suggest it is likely also due to the increasing percentage of threes he is taking, leading to fewer times getting fouled by opponents.
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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Dec 23, 2015 16:15:13 GMT -5
If you include FTs in his distribution, it looks like this:
2014-2015: 29.76% FTs, 35.22% 2PT FGs, 35.03% 3PT FGs (absolute numbers are 158 / 187 / 186)
2015-2016: 26.18% FTs, 29.3% 2PT FGs, 44.5% 3PT FGs (absolute numbers are 50 / 56 / 85)
Admittedly, this isn't scientific, but at the current rate DSR is shooting per game, DSR would have 129 FT attempts, 144 2 PT attempts, and 220 3 PT attempts by the end of the year, and that doesn't even include the post season.
So, in 2014-2015 he had 158 / 187 / 186, and my projection for 2015-2016 (no post-season) is 129, 144, 220. That's 29 less FTs, 43 less twos, and 34 more threes than last year. That's a huge problem because DSR isn't shooting threes well at all, and yet he's still shooting 2's and FTs fairly well.
Under this estimate, he's taking 72 less shots that he makes more often, and 34 more shots he's not making as often. If this continues, it's a recipe for a lack of efficiency.
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Hoyas4Ever
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
A Wise Man Once Told Me Don't Argue With Fools....
Posts: 5,448
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Post by Hoyas4Ever on Jan 26, 2016 14:18:41 GMT -5
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Hoyas4Ever
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
A Wise Man Once Told Me Don't Argue With Fools....
Posts: 5,448
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Post by Hoyas4Ever on Jun 18, 2016 15:07:50 GMT -5
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