GUJook97
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Post by GUJook97 on Jan 14, 2016 11:45:45 GMT -5
I actually don't think it's a particularly great matchup for us, but I'm hopeful as ever. On offense, we've been relying on being able to spread teams out, force a bit of help off of a pick or otherwise, and kick for open looks, but theirs is a tough team to do that against. It's easy to say that we have an advantage inside, but many teams do against them, and they do a good job creatively and aggressively defending the post. Unfortunately, we aren't particularly good with our passing either into or out of the post, so one key will be to take advantage of the post when it's there, but don't force it in. We've been really bad at that all year; now would be a good team to figure it out. We also haven't had much luck playing anyone but the five in the post -- the mismatches down there are really at the other spots on the floor (at least while Ochefu is in the game). It would be nice to exploit Marcus or someone else down there, but again, we haven't done it too well this year. Also, I think Jesse is a big part of the game plan in this one. Force Ochefu outside, which hopefully makes it harder for him to help on their aggressive D. Needless to say, if we can't consistently pound it inside (and I doubt we'll be able to), and we can't consistently beat them one on one to get to the hoop, we're going to have to be awfully efficient shooting the three. Or get some points off turnovers. The other side of the ball is the key. They love to drive and kick and, well, that's not been our strength. Make them shoot over the top. Fair points. It's probably silly to call the #6 team a great matchup for us, but I meant it more in comparison to the other teams. We absolutely have to steal some wins against the top 4. I think we can get Butler, but I fear Providence and Xavier as awful, awful matchups for us. Dunn and Bentil could score like 50 points combined. And, we just cant seem to figure Xavier out. Im hopeful for this weekend. It's a good time for us to steal that first big win.
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guru
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Post by guru on Jan 14, 2016 11:59:49 GMT -5
Looked up the story from last year's 78-58 rout at home. Big concern has to be whether this year's squad can play defense like last year's. Can we hold them to 58 points? Also, Nova made a run in that game when Trawick got poked in the eye and sat for a few minutes. No Trawick this year. I go back to my 65 point observation. If we can hold them to 65 or less we win. This has to bathe game our defense finally steps up. That just reminded me of the between the legs step back three Trawick hit. That was such an awesome shot Answer is easy: This year's team can not play defense like last year's. Not saying we can't win this one, but it won't be because we throttled them defensively.
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lurkerhoya
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Post by lurkerhoya on Jan 14, 2016 12:38:52 GMT -5
This game feels like a shot and a beer at Fado type of pregame in case it goes either direction.
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Post by FrazierFanatic on Jan 14, 2016 12:46:40 GMT -5
Nothing gets the blood pumping like old school hatred of those Main Line bastards. Let's Go Hoyas!!! Let's win this one for 'vadi and Harry!
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hoyainspirit
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When life puts that voodoo on me, music is my gris-gris.
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Post by hoyainspirit on Jan 14, 2016 13:32:38 GMT -5
Villanova likes to shoot a lot of 3s. 46% of their shots come from 3, #13 in the nation. By contrast, about 42% of our shots are 3s, #47 nationally. That 42%, historically, is really high for us. Fortunately, 'Nova doesn't shoot the 3 very well, connecting on only 32% for the year. We shoot it at 36.6%. Unfortunately, as we all know, our 3 pt defense is, shall we say, suspect. Teams tend to light us up from 3. In conference, 'Nova's 3pt % is 34.7, while ours is 40.1, good for 1st place.
Where 'Nova kills you offensively is with 2pt shooting. They absolutely scorch the nets form 2, shooting 60%, 2nd in basketball. Everyone who sees significant minutes shoots over 50%, except Phil Booth. This, plus the fact that they don't turn it over, makes them elite offensively, 'cause they aren't a particularly good offensive rebounding team, and they're poor at getting to the line. Their adjusted efficiency is over 117(117 pts per 100 possessions, #11 in the country), while ours is about 109. The fact that they haven't gotten to the line much may not hurt them, because there's a good chance we'll send them there anyway. We foul a lot.
This year, they have actually played slower than us, adjusted pace of 66.7 possessions per game, 18.0 secs average possession length. We are at 68.9 and 17.3. This surprised me. I thought they played at a greater pace.
Villanova's defense, like its offense is elite, #6 in defensive efficiency. They do all the measurables well except rebound, though they have stepped up their game in conference.
This will be a sweet win for our profile.
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TBird41
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Post by TBird41 on Jan 14, 2016 14:10:39 GMT -5
Nova's #1 overall in the KenPom rankings.
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hoyainspirit
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When life puts that voodoo on me, music is my gris-gris.
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Post by hoyainspirit on Jan 14, 2016 14:31:30 GMT -5
And we're up to #69!
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Post by goyahoya69 on Jan 14, 2016 14:37:23 GMT -5
I don't think this is a great matchup for us either, for the obvious 3pt reasons. Doesn't look like a game for Bradley's skillset either (though I hope I'm wrong). Since he starts, I hope we feed him inside early before nova gets into the groove of the game. Hayes stealing some quick inside points before his likely foul trouble would be nice. We need govan to be a beast, he'll likely be our main center on Saturday. And judging from JTIII's decision to play heavy trey mins against St. John's, I imagine mourning will see some time too.
We need tre and LJ to have some to play some nice defense. They have the quickest feet on our team. Unfortunately, as a team we are very prone to falling for pump fakes, which nova uses extensively. I, too, hope that should we foul a jump shooter, that it is a HARD, BIG EAST foul.
Not sure what to expect from copeland. He seems to play well in big games, but has been mostly non existent on both sides of the ball in the past I-don't-know-how-many games.
DSR's last like 5 or so games have been pretty great/return to normalcy. No reason to believe Saturday won't be much of the same. Good thing too, because we'll need it.
Also, almost definitely going to see at least 1 charge taken by either Marcus or Reggie.
CANT WAIT.
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TBird41
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Post by TBird41 on Jan 14, 2016 14:48:54 GMT -5
In our four OOC games against big name opponents, Isaac's averaged 15.8pts, 6.8 rebs, and 1.8 assists on 56.1% shooting from the field and 52.9% from behind the arc.
Hopefully we get that Isaac on Saturday
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GUMBA
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Post by GUMBA on Jan 14, 2016 15:03:08 GMT -5
If memory serves, Bradley played a few mins last year at home when we pounded Nova. I don't remember him scoring but I do remember him playing solid defense for the limited time he got spelling Josh.
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Post by bearsandbulls on Jan 14, 2016 15:07:56 GMT -5
This team is ready. Starting BEAST with some BDWs has allowed this young team to grow. Last night was exactly the kind of game (cruising and bruising) that is needed before taking on 'Nova at home. Back ups got play, youth is growing by the game, and the team exerted total control over a weaker opponent. Now, it is time to step up against the other big boys in the BEAST. There will undoubtably be some blips, but this team is improving steadily and has no glaring weaknesses. Cameron and Govan are stepping up while Coleman struggles, but he is better than what he is showing. Can't wait to hear Verizon with the students back and the meaning of this game. Should be exciting. Always the fear of dropping a bomb, but I think this team is ready to head to head with the best.
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Post by HometownHoya on Jan 14, 2016 15:20:21 GMT -5
Consistency. Play a full 40 minute game with no lapses or droughts and you can win any game.
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Post by Coast2CoastHoya on Jan 14, 2016 15:40:49 GMT -5
This is the one. This is the one out of four we play against V and X that we have the best chance of winning. This is the game that puts the Hoyas back in the discussion and fixes some of the damage done in December.
It was great to see us put up 93 points last night. We're going to need the offense firing on all cylinders to overcome V's defense, and I don't think our D this year is going to stop their O, especially after LJ fouls out.
Focus, intensity, consistent effort, good fundamental basketball with no dumb mistakes, box out, hit your free throws.
LET'S. GO. HOYAS!!!
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Filo
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Post by Filo on Jan 14, 2016 17:02:17 GMT -5
JTIII better be preparing the boys for some pressing, since I imagine we will be seeing a fair amount of it from Villanova. The Hoyas haven't looked too confident when dealing with full court pressure.
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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Jan 14, 2016 17:31:26 GMT -5
JTIII better be preparing the boys for some pressing, since I imagine we will be seeing a fair amount of it from Villanova. The Hoyas haven't looked too confident when dealing with full court pressure. On the flip side, I wonder how much we will press. I definitely think it made sense against DePaul and St. John's, but Villanova has skilled guards and our passive pressure that doesn't get aggressive and/or trap very much just doesn't seem like it will be all that effective. I have no problem with using it and seeing what happens, but the minute Villanova begins torching it, I would stop.
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blueandgray
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Post by blueandgray on Jan 14, 2016 18:25:49 GMT -5
I hope I am pleasantly surprised but I struggle seeing Reggie and Marcus staying in front of their guys.
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GUJook97
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Post by GUJook97 on Jan 14, 2016 18:52:07 GMT -5
JTIII better be preparing the boys for some pressing, since I imagine we will be seeing a fair amount of it from Villanova. The Hoyas haven't looked too confident when dealing with full court pressure. On the flip side, I wonder how much we will press. I definitely think it made sense against DePaul and St. John's, but Villanova has skilled guards and our passive pressure that doesn't get aggressive and/or trap very much just doesn't seem like it will be all that effective. I have no problem with using it and seeing what happens, but the minute Villanova begins torching it, I would stop. Yeah, I think you are correctly talking yourself out of it. I think they are just too good of a passing team and Hart and booth can hit 3s from anywhere.
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Post by daymondmyles on Jan 14, 2016 18:56:21 GMT -5
Or DSR or Tre for that matter
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tashoya
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Post by tashoya on Jan 14, 2016 23:26:41 GMT -5
On the flip side, I wonder how much we will press. I definitely think it made sense against DePaul and St. John's, but Villanova has skilled guards and our passive pressure that doesn't get aggressive and/or trap very much just doesn't seem like it will be all that effective. I have no problem with using it and seeing what happens, but the minute Villanova begins torching it, I would stop. Yeah, I think you are correctly talking yourself out of it. I think they are just too good of a passing team and Hart and booth can hit 3s from anywhere. They are a very, very good passing team. They are way overrated from deep. If anything, we want to dare them to shoot from 3 with a bit of pressure and allow them as little as possible from 2. If it ends up being a long range shooting contest, our odds are better than 50/50.
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eagle54
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Post by eagle54 on Jan 14, 2016 23:55:37 GMT -5
I say we split with Nova in the regular season. That's how these will go regardless of talent.
I will say I can't stand Nova. They are our closest comparable program in the conference though I think we have the advantages and yet they are well ahead of us. That's where I question what we are doing.
No way they should be a superior program but they have been for last several years though with the same limited success in the tournament which just may mean our conference isn't that good.
I'm torn anymore because I feel I can't just hate a Nova program or other BE rivals like I used to. I almost need to have them have success in the post season so we can validate this conference which is still tenuous. I keep feeling like we as Georgetown who should be the pillar of this conference aren't holding up our end to support this new BE that doesn't get the attention by the major media.
I know I'll be discounted but the BE is fading away here.
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