TC
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 9,480
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Post by TC on Oct 12, 2012 14:10:15 GMT -5
Here's the Senate version of this, don't be lazy - answer all questions, it shouldn't take too long. Just copy and paste the below in your reply and remove or insert your answer below the question.
Entries freeze November 1.
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE SENATE?
Democrats / Republicans
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE HOUSE?
Democrats / Republicans
WHAT ARE THE HOUSE TOTALS FROM EACH SIDE? (Currently R 242-193, your answer must add up to 435 even if you were SFS)
WHO WINS THE AZ SENATE SEAT?
Carmona (D) / Flake (R)
WHO WINS THE CT SENATE SEAT?
Murphy (D) / McMahon (R)
WHO WINS THE FL SENATE SEAT?
Nelson (D) / Mack (R)
WHO WINS THE IN SENATE SEAT?
Donnelly (D) / Mourdock (R)
WHO WINS THE MA SENATE SEAT?
Warren (D) / Brown (R)
WHO WINS THE MO SENATE SEAT?
McCaskill (D) / Akin (R)
WHO WINS THE MT SENATE SEAT?
Tester (D) / Rehberg (R)
WHO WINS THE ND SENATE SEAT?
Heitkamp (D) / Berg (R)
WHO WINS THE NV SENATE SEAT?
Berkeley (D) / Heller (R)
WHO WINS THE VA SENATE SEAT?
Kaine (D) / Allen (R)
WHO WINS THE WI SENATE SEAT?
Baldwin (D) / Thompson (R)
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DFW HOYA
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 5,911
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Post by DFW HOYA on Oct 12, 2012 14:19:51 GMT -5
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TC
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 9,480
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Post by TC on Oct 14, 2012 23:15:51 GMT -5
EDIT (10/31, changed Mourdock->Donnelly)
EDIT (11/01, changed Carmona->Flake)
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE SENATE?
Democrats
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE HOUSE?
Republicans
WHAT ARE THE HOUSE TOTALS FROM EACH SIDE? (Currently R 242-193, your answer must add up to 435 even if you were SFS)
R 227-208
WHO WINS THE AZ SENATE SEAT?
Flake (R)
WHO WINS THE CT SENATE SEAT?
Murphy (D)
WHO WINS THE FL SENATE SEAT?
Nelson (D)
WHO WINS THE IN SENATE SEAT?
Donnelly (D)
WHO WINS THE MA SENATE SEAT?
Warren (D)
WHO WINS THE MO SENATE SEAT?
McCaskill (D)
WHO WINS THE MT SENATE SEAT?
Rehberg (R)
WHO WINS THE ND SENATE SEAT?
Berg (R)
WHO WINS THE NV SENATE SEAT?
Heller (R)
WHO WINS THE VA SENATE SEAT?
Kaine (D)
WHO WINS THE WI SENATE SEAT?
Baldwin (D)
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Post by AustinHoya03 on Oct 18, 2012 16:41:37 GMT -5
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE SENATE? Democrats WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE HOUSE? Republicans WHAT ARE THE HOUSE TOTALS FROM EACH SIDE? R 240 D 195 WHO WINS THE AZ SENATE SEAT? Flake (R) WHO WINS THE CT SENATE SEAT? Murphy (D) WHO WINS THE FL SENATE SEAT? Nelson (D) WHO WINS THE IN SENATE SEAT? Mourdock (R) WHO WINS THE MA SENATE SEAT? Warren (D) WHO WINS THE MO SENATE SEAT? McCaskill (D) WHO WINS THE MT SENATE SEAT? Rehberg (R) WHO WINS THE ND SENATE SEAT? Berg (R) WHO WINS THE NV SENATE SEAT? Heller (R) WHO WINS THE VA SENATE SEAT? Kaine (D) WHO WINS THE WI SENATE SEAT? Baldwin (D) _________________________________________________________ Even in Austin, I have seen only a handful of Sadler signs dotting the lawn landscape. You are correct that he doesn't have the name recognition, but Cruz was just as unknown as late as January 2011. One of the problems for Democrats in Texas is that the Republican primary draws so much cash and media attention that the winner comes out with a strong profile and a sizable war chest. The Democratic candidate is comparatively broke. |
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TC
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 9,480
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Post by TC on Oct 18, 2012 17:41:36 GMT -5
A lawn sign phenomena I don't think I've ever seen before but I've seen twice now - multi-party lawn signs on the same lawn. In both cases, it was Scott Brown and Joe Kennedy III. Can't figure out whether it's an independent, a Democrat who likes Scott Brown, or a Republican who likes the Kennedys.
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nodak89
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Roy Roy Royyyyy!!!
Posts: 1,881
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Post by nodak89 on Oct 19, 2012 8:05:51 GMT -5
Here's the Senate version of this, don't be lazy - answer all questions, it shouldn't take too long. Just copy and paste the below in your reply and remove or insert your answer below the question.
Entries freeze November 1.
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE SENATE?
Democrats
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE HOUSE?
Republicans
WHAT ARE THE HOUSE TOTALS FROM EACH SIDE? (Currently R 235-200 your answer must add up to 435 even if you were SFS)
WHO WINS THE AZ SENATE SEAT?
Flake (R)
WHO WINS THE CT SENATE SEAT?
Murphy (D)
WHO WINS THE FL SENATE SEAT?
Mack (R)
WHO WINS THE IN SENATE SEAT?
/ Mourdock (R)
WHO WINS THE MA SENATE SEAT?
Warren (D)
WHO WINS THE MO SENATE SEAT?
McCaskill (D)
WHO WINS THE MT SENATE SEAT?
Rehberg (R)
WHO WINS THE ND SENATE SEAT?
Heitkamp (D)
WHO WINS THE NV SENATE SEAT?
Berkeley (D)
WHO WINS THE VA SENATE SEAT?
Kaine (D)
WHO WINS THE WI SENATE SEAT?
Baldwin (D)
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Boz
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
123 Fireballs!
Posts: 10,355
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Post by Boz on Oct 30, 2012 14:44:31 GMT -5
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE SENATE?
Democrats
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE HOUSE?
Republicans
WHAT ARE THE HOUSE TOTALS FROM EACH SIDE?
Honestly, I'm not even going to try to calculate this. I'll just say, for the sake of the bet, Dems pick up 10 seats. Don't think they have a chance to re-take the House, but hard to imagine Republicans increasing their advantage here. So 232-203.
WHO WINS THE AZ SENATE SEAT?
Flake (R)
WHO WINS THE CT SENATE SEAT?
Murphy (D)
(Would like to pick the upset here, but can't bring myself to pull the trigger on it)
WHO WINS THE FL SENATE SEAT?
Nelson (D)
WHO WINS THE IN SENATE SEAT?
Mourdock (R)
WHO WINS THE MA SENATE SEAT?
Brown (R)
(I'll take this one as an upset - based on the current polls anyway -- instead of Linda McMahon)
WHO WINS THE MO SENATE SEAT?
McCaskill (D)
(Biggest wasted opportunity for Republicans in the whole country)
WHO WINS THE MT SENATE SEAT?
Rehberg (R)
WHO WINS THE ND SENATE SEAT?
Berg (R)
WHO WINS THE NV SENATE SEAT?
Heller (R)
WHO WINS THE VA SENATE SEAT?
Kaine (D)
WHO WINS THE WI SENATE SEAT?
Thompson (R)
(Senate races in NV and WI help Romney to take those states, per my picks in the other thread).
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Post by Problem of Dog on Oct 30, 2012 16:25:07 GMT -5
Lot of reaching and wishful thinking by Boz in both threads.
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE SENATE?
Democrats
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE HOUSE?
Republicans
WHAT ARE THE HOUSE TOTALS FROM EACH SIDE? (235-200)
WHO WINS THE AZ SENATE SEAT?
Flake (R)
WHO WINS THE CT SENATE SEAT?
Murphy (D)
WHO WINS THE FL SENATE SEAT?
Nelson (D) (How does NoDak see Mack winning this??)
WHO WINS THE IN SENATE SEAT?
Donnelly (D) (Let's hope, for the sake of sane people everywhere)
WHO WINS THE MA SENATE SEAT?
Warren (D) (This one isn't a toss up anymore)
WHO WINS THE MO SENATE SEAT?
McCaskill (D)
WHO WINS THE MT SENATE SEAT?
Rehberg (R)
WHO WINS THE ND SENATE SEAT?
Berg (R)
WHO WINS THE NV SENATE SEAT?
Heller (R)
WHO WINS THE VA SENATE SEAT?
Kaine (D) (Part of the reason Obama will win VA)
WHO WINS THE WI SENATE SEAT?
Baldwin (D) (again, no chance Romney wins WI)
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Boz
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123 Fireballs!
Posts: 10,355
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Post by Boz on Oct 30, 2012 16:48:47 GMT -5
Ummm...for all the "reaching" you are claiming I am doing, I count a whole three differences in our picks in this thread.
I guess time will tell.
Anyone who goes into this thinking they have a high level of confidence on ANY of these picks is kidding themselves.
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Post by Problem of Dog on Oct 30, 2012 17:16:05 GMT -5
Ummm...for all the "reaching" you are claiming I am doing, I count a whole three differences in our picks in this thread. I guess time will tell. Anyone who goes into this thinking they have a high level of confidence on ANY of these picks is kidding themselves. I think most of your reaching was done in the presidential thread, although I think Thompson and Brown, in particular, are major reaches. |
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TC
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 9,480
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Post by TC on Oct 31, 2012 7:42:26 GMT -5
Different predictions are part of the fun. If we all had the same map as 538 or unskewedpolls, it'd be kind of boring.
Boz, are we betting signatures or anything this time?
Also, in retrospect, I should have included Nebraska Senate and Maine's 2nd Congressional district in the Presidential questionnaire.
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Boz
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
123 Fireballs!
Posts: 10,355
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Post by Boz on Oct 31, 2012 9:37:49 GMT -5
I still don't understand the "wishful thinking" part. Sure, I took a couple of long shots in the Senate thread. That's part of the fun.
As for the presidential thread, either Obama or Romney is going to win. Whoever does win, the people who picked that candidate are going to be "mostly" correct in the down-ballot guesses. The people who picked the losing candidate are going to get most of those wrong too.
Anyway, whatever. Like I said, we'll know soon enough.
(And in any case, I'm not capable of sandbagging like EasyEd, haha! ;D )
TC: I'm happy to do signatures again. Say, for a month? Unless you have something different in mind.
All of the rest of you should feel free to make side bets as well. TC and I just wager pretty much for bragging rights, but feel free to wager more tangible....uh-oh. Better shut up before I violate board rules! ;D
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ScreamingHoya
Bulldog (over 250 posts)
Ted Valentine: Getting it wrong since 1979.
Posts: 451
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Post by ScreamingHoya on Nov 3, 2012 8:38:02 GMT -5
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE SENATE?
Democrats
WHO WINS CONTROL OF THE HOUSE?
Republicans
WHAT ARE THE HOUSE TOTALS FROM EACH SIDE? R 237, D 198
WHO WINS THE AZ SENATE SEAT?
Flake (R)
WHO WINS THE CT SENATE SEAT?
Murphy (D)
WHO WINS THE FL SENATE SEAT?
Nelson (D)
WHO WINS THE IN SENATE SEAT?
Donnelly (D)
WHO WINS THE MA SENATE SEAT?
Warren (D)
WHO WINS THE MO SENATE SEAT?
McCaskill (D)
WHO WINS THE MT SENATE SEAT?
Rehberg (R)
WHO WINS THE ND SENATE SEAT?
Berg (R)
WHO WINS THE NV SENATE SEAT?
Heller (R)
WHO WINS THE VA SENATE SEAT?
Kaine (D)
WHO WINS THE WI SENATE SEAT?
Baldwin (D)
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TC
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 9,480
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Post by TC on Nov 7, 2012 9:32:11 GMT -5
Standings, without the House count......
Problem of Dog 11 (missed on Rehberg and Berg)
ScreamingHoya 11 (missed on Rehberg, Berg)*
TC 11 (missed on Berg and Rehberg)
AustinHoya03 10 (missed on Mourdock, Rehberg, Berg)
nodak89 9 (missed on Mack, Mourdock, Rehberg, Berkeley)
Boz 8 (missed on Mourdock, Brown, Rehberg, Berg, Thompson)
* Late entry
So it comes down to three entries :
TC (227-208 House Count)
Problem of Dog (235-200 House Count)
ScreamingHoya* (237-198 House Count)
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Post by flyoverhoya on Nov 7, 2012 14:09:55 GMT -5
Question of the morning out here - is Tammy Baldwin as far left as Ron Johnson is right? How WI elected these two 24 months apart is still a little hard to figure.
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TC
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 9,480
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Post by TC on Nov 7, 2012 15:06:13 GMT -5
Question of the morning out here - is Tammy Baldwin as far left as Ron Johnson is right? How WI elected these two 24 months apart is still a little hard to figure. Midterm vs. General |
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nodak89
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Roy Roy Royyyyy!!!
Posts: 1,881
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Post by nodak89 on Nov 7, 2012 21:43:14 GMT -5
Do I get extra credit for being the only one to pick Heitkamp?  |
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prhoya
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Posts: 23,604
Member is Online
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Post by prhoya on Nov 9, 2012 18:30:05 GMT -5
Thanks, TC, for keeping this up.
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