theexorcist
Diamond Hoya (over 2500 posts)
Posts: 3,506 
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Post by theexorcist on Feb 12, 2008 8:02:09 GMT -5
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Post by StPetersburgHoya (Inactive) on Feb 12, 2008 8:07:06 GMT -5
Get out and vote. There were long lines at my polling place this morning. It took about 40 minutes to vote.
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Post by HoyaSinceBirth on Feb 12, 2008 9:36:26 GMT -5
I was in and out at my polling station this morning, took all of 5 minutes. I timed it perfectly to miss the rush of those trying to still make it to work on time and before those who are trying to take their whole 2 hours of from work to vote. Was very simple.
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TigerHoya
Diamond Hoya (over 2500 posts)
Posts: 2,808
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Post by TigerHoya on Feb 12, 2008 9:58:00 GMT -5
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Post by Coast2CoastHoya on Feb 12, 2008 9:58:06 GMT -5
All this excitement makes me wish I could vote in the primary!
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Post by StPetersburgHoya (Inactive) on Feb 12, 2008 19:01:14 GMT -5
Obama won VA according to exit polls (by a 2 to 1 margin if you believe Drudge). Drudge also "reports" that Obama was leading exit polls in DC by a 3 to 1 margin and that there was a record african-american turn out in MD.
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Post by jerseyhoya34 on Feb 12, 2008 20:05:32 GMT -5
Obama won VA according to exit polls (by a 2 to 1 margin if you believe Drudge). Drudge also "reports" that Obama was leading exit polls in DC by a 3 to 1 margin and that there was a record african-american turn out in MD. With 45% reporting, Obama is at 64.3%. If past returns are any indication, this number will only improve because precincts where he is strong (cities) report later. Roanoke (HRC stronghold) is more than halfway in, and NoVa, VA Beach, and Norfolk are not yet in (all supposed Obama strongholds). Richmond is on its way but not yet halfway reported. Blogs earlier in the week suggested 60% was a break point for delegates, where Obama's take would improve. I don't know if there is a higher breakpoint at, say, 70%. Based on polls this week, folks extrapolated and predicted that the delegate margin in VA would be 13, 12 in MD, and 6 in DC. It appears as though the margin in VA will be greater than this estimate. |
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DFW HOYA
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 5,912
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Post by DFW HOYA on Feb 12, 2008 21:18:29 GMT -5
At least where I am in Fairfax, two monitors called in sick, making waiting to vote a long, slow, tortuous process. Voters in the Democratic primary were outnumbering Republicans 3-1. For all these states that can't seem close its polls on time, they should take a cue from Texas, where early voting begins two weeks before the election and runs six days a week right up to Election Day. No one has an excuse that they didn't get a chance to vote when the polls are "open" for 12 days. |
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theexorcist
Diamond Hoya (over 2500 posts)
Posts: 3,506
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Post by theexorcist on Feb 12, 2008 21:27:31 GMT -5
The race has been called for McCain.
I don't necessarily buy the "trouble with conservatives" logic. I think that independents - McCain's big strength - saw that Romney was out and voted in the Democratic primary (Democratic turnout was more than double Republican). Other conservatives may have voted for Huckabee as a protest vote, but I believe that all will come around by general election time.
Oh, DFW - the problem with early voting, especially for primaries, is that some votes may be for people who drop out - or late-breaking information, which becomes more relevant as the candidate campaigns in your home state, alters decisions. This apparently heavily affected California during the Democratic primary.
Agreed that it has its benefits, but there are tradeoffs, too.
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njhoya06
Century (over 100 posts)
Posts: 228
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Post by njhoya06 on Feb 12, 2008 22:40:17 GMT -5
McCain got 16 delegates from DC, and looks like he'll get under 4,000 votes.
I might not get representation in Congress, but man is my presidential primary vote worth way more than it is in other states.
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Post by StPetersburgHoya (Inactive) on Feb 12, 2008 23:08:03 GMT -5
Hillary has real issues going forward (she's not done - I said that before New Hampshire and ate crow) - she is behind the eight ball in terms of pledged delegates and really has to win big to cut into that 120(ish) delegate lead. If she can't get within 30 (which would require 60% wins in Texas and Ohio - assuming Obama wins Hawai'i and Wisconsin), then its going to be difficult for her to claim that the delegates from Michigan and Florida should be seated or super-delegates should decide the nominee. Now the game is cutting into Obama's lead so that she has a leg to stand on when the Democratic party pre-brokers this nomination.
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Post by jerseyhoya34 on Feb 12, 2008 23:14:00 GMT -5
Hillary's campaign has issues at all levels right now. I don't think she has really settled into something that works in competitive contests, and her campaign is getting outworked and outsmarted at the top and at the grassroots level.
There are no easy answers right now in terms of figuring out how she can turn the corner.
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Filo
Diamond Hoya (over 2500 posts)
Posts: 3,928
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Post by Filo on Feb 12, 2008 23:26:15 GMT -5
It's not helping her cause that polls are showing Obama with a decent margin over McCain but she and McCain in pretty much a dead heat. Of course, we know how accurate the polls can be, though.
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EasyEd
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 7,272
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Post by EasyEd on Feb 13, 2008 7:22:38 GMT -5
Obama is winning because people like him and do not like Hillary.
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