Post by RockawayHoya on Mar 10, 2006 17:59:13 GMT -5
Just one person's opinions. Feel free to disagree.
After reading numerous bracket projections, as well as ESPN's Bubble Watch team profiles, I think there's a 50-50 chance that the BE will get 9 teams in. Obviously, I think 8 teams are safe (us, Nova, UConn, Marquette, Pitt, Cinci, Cuse, and WVU), but the team that will obviously either back in or bubble out is SHU.
Bubble Watch currently has the number of at-larges still up in the air as 6 (they assume teams like UAB, Cal, Cinci, Syracuse, and Indiana are already in), barring San Diego State and Nevada losing their conference tourneys, as well as South Carolina upsetting either Florida or LSU. Of all the teams on the Bubble Watch, here's how I'd see them in comparison to SHU:
Ahead of SHU:
1) Michigan
2) Texas A&M (loss to Texas today not that damaging)
3) Bradley (hate this, but if you just go by numbers)
4) George Mason
5) Northern Iowa
6) Wichita State
These are teams that are behind SHU that are still alive in their conference tournaments and could jump the Pirates in the pecking order with continued winning:
(None. Maryland lost, and Cal is assumed to be in after last night's win over Oregon.)
Teams I can't see the committee putting ahead of SHU (that are done):
1) FSU
2) Colorado (loss to A&M eliminates them)
3) Missouri State
4) Creighton
5) Air Force
6) Maryland (loss to BC eliminates them)
This means that SHU is at this point probably the last team out, unless the committee puts SHU ahead of either George Mason or Michigan (3-7 in last 10 might hurt them more than we think). In that scenario, they'd be the last team in. SHU has to root for SDSU, Nevada, and Florida/LSU to close their respective to deals to make it.
Thoughts?
After reading numerous bracket projections, as well as ESPN's Bubble Watch team profiles, I think there's a 50-50 chance that the BE will get 9 teams in. Obviously, I think 8 teams are safe (us, Nova, UConn, Marquette, Pitt, Cinci, Cuse, and WVU), but the team that will obviously either back in or bubble out is SHU.
Bubble Watch currently has the number of at-larges still up in the air as 6 (they assume teams like UAB, Cal, Cinci, Syracuse, and Indiana are already in), barring San Diego State and Nevada losing their conference tourneys, as well as South Carolina upsetting either Florida or LSU. Of all the teams on the Bubble Watch, here's how I'd see them in comparison to SHU:
Ahead of SHU:
1) Michigan
2) Texas A&M (loss to Texas today not that damaging)
3) Bradley (hate this, but if you just go by numbers)
4) George Mason
5) Northern Iowa
6) Wichita State
These are teams that are behind SHU that are still alive in their conference tournaments and could jump the Pirates in the pecking order with continued winning:
(None. Maryland lost, and Cal is assumed to be in after last night's win over Oregon.)
Teams I can't see the committee putting ahead of SHU (that are done):
1) FSU
2) Colorado (loss to A&M eliminates them)
3) Missouri State
4) Creighton
5) Air Force
6) Maryland (loss to BC eliminates them)
This means that SHU is at this point probably the last team out, unless the committee puts SHU ahead of either George Mason or Michigan (3-7 in last 10 might hurt them more than we think). In that scenario, they'd be the last team in. SHU has to root for SDSU, Nevada, and Florida/LSU to close their respective to deals to make it.
Thoughts?
