bracket projections/the sky ain't falling

[guru]

Just checked out the latest amalgamation of bracket projections at the bracket project:

bracketproject.atspace.com/comparison.htm

bottom line: the USF loss didn't hurt nearly as much as we think. on friday our projected seed came out to a 5. Now it's a 6. If we win a game or two in NYC, the odds are good that we'll get a 4, 5 or a 6, and be in a position to play a very beatable team in round two. Lose to ND and we're probably an 8 - but we're not going to lose to ND (or Marquette for that matter).

LET'S GO HOYAS

[FrazierFanatic]

A 6 would not be the worst thing in the world a tougher first round game against an 11, but then potentially a 3 and a 2; given the general mediocrity in college bball this season below the top 3-4 teams, avoiding a #1 seed for as long as possible could help. That said, I think we get at least 2 , maybe even a third this week, getting us up to a 5 or even a four.

[kghoya]

id rather be a 6 as opposed to a 5...i think the selection guys try hard to make the 5/12 as even as possible to keep the cinderella theme going

[williambraskyiii]

i agree - 6 seed is amazing - i am not even joking. but a 5 seed in memphis region would be niiiiiiice too

[jook97]

Yeh, the reason the #12 seed is dangerous is because it is usually one of the last teams into the tournament. Sometimes, that means it is a team that is falling out of contention (Syracuse), but it could be a team that has played well enough at the end of the year to sneak in (UAB, FSU). I wouldnt want to play a team from the latter category.

[Boz]

I know we treat them like an ugly stepchild because, well let's face it, they are, but -- depending on how the next week shakes out in terms of slots -- I think it wouold be fun if the selection committee did a little creative seeding for a potential GU-GW matchup.

Not that I think it's an automatic W or anything. As someone smarter than me pointed out the other day, GW doesn't suck. They're a good team, just an overrated one.

I just think it would be fun. Unlike MD in 2001, this would be a possible matchup on Sat-Sun of the first weekend (3-6 or 4-5, I'd guess), so you wouldn't have that whole week going into the game. But still I think there'd be plenty of time going into the tournament for local media to build up some good hype for this and have lots of fun coverage & conversation.

I just think it would be pretty cool.

(but yeah, we'd win it)

[bostonhoya05]

Bracketology has us at a 6 today with Lunardi saying he'll give us a "mulligan" on the South Florida game, but not on ND if we want a good seed.

Now if only the HoyaTalkers would give our team a mulligan...

[williambraskyiii]

haha - thanks Lunardi...you buttmonkey

[StPetersburgHoya (Inactive)]

Here is what I want - 6 GU vs. 11 George Mason - winner takes on GW. That would be an amazing post season BB&T with the local team that are relevant.

[williambraskyiii]

yeah - especially now that tony skinn is out for punchin a guy in the nuts. stewart mandel has us a 6 against UAB - i don't like that matchup because that teams seems to be dangerous.
i want a cushy 11 seed like mizzou state or some ohter overrated MVC team.

[dkr354]

looks like we make the big dance no matter what. an 8 seed would still be bad because making the sweet 16 would be very very hard. that makes the ND game a must-win and if we beat them i think marquette would be an easier win.

[Deleted]

They ARE going to the dance no matter what. They can lose to ND in the first round and they're still going. One loss (even a 2-4 stretch run) does not a season make.

[Fan Of The Game]

anyone know how the bracketproject has done historically in projecting seeds?

[StPetersburgHoya (Inactive)]

I would guess it does really well since its an average of lots of experts the week or so before the selection committee makes its decisions.

[williambraskyiii]

gonzaga currently trying to give away this game to LMU...i mean really 'zaga...there is enough uncertainty in mid-majors this year - you are the friggin' 4th ranked team in the country and you cant beat LMU on your home court? this team has got nothing...NOTHING

[jackdog74]

I have a hard time falling asleep so I actually watch a lot of Gonzaga games. Honestly, I'm not that impressed with a team that seems to sneak by game after game. I really wonder how they will do if they get bracketed against a Big East, ACC or Big Ten team. I sure in heck do not believe they are a #2 seed. Maybe, a GW West version.

Now watch, we'll play them in the tournament and get smoked.