DanMcQ
Moderator
Posts: 30,529
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Post by DanMcQ on Nov 27, 2022 16:01:45 GMT -5
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tashoya
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
Posts: 12,319
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Post by tashoya on Nov 27, 2022 21:18:50 GMT -5
Can we get some sort of betting line on this (though, honestly, I don't know how betting lines work)? Could be fun. Longer or shorter than Abrams in 2018? One of these things is SO not like the other. But, you know that. And, that election was, for all intents and purposes, concluded within 2 weeks with Abrams saying she realized there was no legal way forward for her. Doesn't sound like any "Republican" of which I'm aware in 2022.
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tashoya
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
Posts: 12,319
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Post by tashoya on Nov 27, 2022 21:19:41 GMT -5
Imagine kids that are looking to get a good education showing up and not voting for Walker. Shocking. Must be the "woke" universities and not the atrocious "Republican" candidates.
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DanMcQ
Moderator
Posts: 30,529
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Post by DanMcQ on Nov 29, 2022 18:09:01 GMT -5
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hoyarooter
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
Posts: 10,200
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Post by hoyarooter on Nov 29, 2022 20:35:20 GMT -5
Mark, repeat after me: "I take the Fifth." I smell an offer of immunity in the air.
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DanMcQ
Moderator
Posts: 30,529
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Post by DanMcQ on Dec 13, 2022 13:22:09 GMT -5
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SDHoya
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 2,328
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Post by SDHoya on Dec 13, 2022 14:22:19 GMT -5
I suppose that's one way to read the data? On the other hand, the youngest voting demographic has historically always skewed more liberal/left than older demographics. And as those voters have aged (whether we are talking about baby boomers, Gen-Xers, etc.), despite their youthful leanings, as a group they trend back towards more conservative positions. So the fact that this data shows young voters favoring Democrats is not exactly breaking news. If anything, the data presented by the tweeter and Brookings here is murky as to trends. The graph shown here actually demonstrates a smaller gap than the last mid term election. And as far as the tweeter's statement that young voters "turned out in masses"--the turn out for 18-29s this year was 27%. While this is higher than pre-Trump midterms, not only is that still very low compared to every other age group, but its lower than the ~30% who voted in the 2018 midterms. Here is the data Brookings relied on: circle.tufts.edu/2022-election-center#youth-turnout-second-highest-in-last-three-decadesSo is the "online right" turning off young voters any more than before? Dunno--but this data shows lower participation and smaller voting margins comparing the last two midterm elections. Contrary to the tweeter and Brooking's headline, it seems that young voters this cycle were actually less a the driver of "resistance to a red wave" than they were in the previous midterm. And whether the "online right" will change the trajectory of how this group votes 20 or 40 years from now, who knows? At this point I just hope there is enough resistance anti-democratic impulses that there is still the opportunity to vote then.
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