dTRAIN
Century (over 100 posts)
Posts: 189
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Post by dTRAIN on Jan 18, 2005 8:52:13 GMT -5
We are 11.5 point underdogs today. That is amazing, especially when you look at the last 5 games with SU and see that the largest margin of victory was a 9 point OT loss by us in '03.
Go HOYAS!!!!!
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FOTP
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,435
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Post by FOTP on Jan 18, 2005 10:05:07 GMT -5
This is 3 or 4 points more than I thought it would be. Oh well...Vegas will come to appreciate the Hoyas soon enough...
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Simian Prime
Bulldog (over 250 posts)
It rubs the lotion on its skin, or else it gets the hose again. --- J. Gumm
Posts: 283
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Post by Simian Prime on Jan 18, 2005 10:36:22 GMT -5
I wish Vegas had us as 25+ point underdogs.
Sleeeeeep...'Cuse...sleeeep! Look to the following game. This is a lock for you...forget about GU....Sleeeeeep....
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SFHoya99
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
Posts: 17,760
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Post by SFHoya99 on Jan 18, 2005 10:43:40 GMT -5
Shouldn't you be loving the fact that "your" team is undervalued by the collective gambling public? Seems like a sports gambler's dream.
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vagrant
Century (over 100 posts)
Posts: 182
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Post by vagrant on Jan 18, 2005 11:02:58 GMT -5
Don't forget that the Vegas line, esp. when it comes to "lesser known teams", and I would say that we are "lesser known" as far as our recent past, is a combination of what the oddsmaker think the outcome will be AND a point spread that will attract bettors to bet both sides evenly. In teams like GU, Vegas does not like to risk being surprised and taking a bath. therefore they set a line that will bring an equal number of bettors on either side. Vegas will make money on the juice. 11.5 maybe that point where SU faithful will think they will win by, and GU's think they will beat the spread. In better known games (Pats v. Steelers) the line more accurately reflects the expected outcome.
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tgo
Silver Hoya (over 500 posts)
Posts: 799
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Post by tgo on Jan 18, 2005 11:04:14 GMT -5
the line was 15 in my morning paper
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 18, 2005 11:06:38 GMT -5
Take the 15 and bet the mortgage.....
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dTRAIN
Century (over 100 posts)
Posts: 189
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Post by dTRAIN on Jan 18, 2005 11:19:21 GMT -5
vagrant,
I hear what you are saying. It is the reason you never bet the Cowboys, because the line is always skewed against them because they have so many fans. The sad thing, is we used to be like that. Now it appears to have flipped around. A nice win tonight might move us back in the "right" direction (or wrong if you like betting the Hoyas).
dTRAIN
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