Lunardi 3/3 [and 3/5 update]

[hoyaboy1]

A 2 is better, because we'd surely rather play teams like WSU, Memphis, Pitt, or SIU than A&M, Wisconsin, Florida, or UNC.

[DanMcQ]

post moved:

mj said:

Moves us back up to the 2 line
proxy.espn.go.com/ncb/region?group=2&teamId=46#46

[kchoya]

not that I'm losing any sleep over it, but you'd think he'd include ODU as a top 50 win.

[Madgesdiq]

This is another reason the BET is so important. Win the BET and we will be a #2. If not, we are looking at a #3.

[Bando]

Anyone have insider and can post the write up?

[Filo]

Here is what he says about the Hoyas:

GEORGETOWN
The Hoyas have played as well as anyone over the last six weeks. A No. 2 seed is theirs to lose.

Why seeded here?
The Big East isn't strong enough to lift its champion to a No. 1 seed.

May change because:
None of which will make Georgetown any less dangerous this month.

Good Wins
RPI 1-25: Marquette, @villanova, Pitt
RPI 26-50: @vandy, Notre Dame, @louisville

Bad Losses
RPI 101-200: None
RPI 201+: None

[trent]

Lunardi seems to use the "S curve" pretty exclusively to come up with his top seeds. By reading what he has to say about some of the teams being #1 overall (UCLA), or the lowest #2 (A&M), you can piece together what his rankings are to come up with Bracketology. Here's his top 12 for the 3/5 version-

1. UCLA
2. OSU
3. FLA
4. Kansas
5. UNC
6. Wisco
7. GTOWN
8. A&M
9. S. Illinois
10. Wash. St.
11. Pitt
12. Memphis

Looks pretty good to me.

I think that Maryland, Texas, and Louisville have a chance to join this group before the end of the week if they get to their conference tourney finals.

[Bando]

Thanks Filo!

[ExcitableBoy]

Today's bracket is considerably better than the last version. Today we play Washington State (or Butler?) in the sweet 16, with a potential OSU rematch to get to Atlanta. This is considerably better than being in a region with Kansas & UNC.

Also, re: #2 vs #3 seed. It isn't a big deal in terms of seeding, but it has the potential to be a big deal in terms of matchup. If we're a #2 seed, we play the #3 seed (the Pitts, Wash Sts, & Memphises of the world) whereas a #3 seed plays the UNCs, Wisconsins, & Texas A&Ms of the world). That is, of course, barring upsets which almost always end up screwing things up anyways.

[Locker]

mj said:

Lunardi seems to use the "S curve" pretty exclusively to come up with his top seeds. By reading what he has to say about some of the teams being #1 overall (UCLA), or the lowest #2 (A&M), you can piece together what his rankings are to come up with Bracketology. Here's his top 12 for the 3/5 version-

1. UCLA
2. OSU
3. FLA
4. Kansas
5. UNC
6. Wisco
7. GTOWN
8. A&M
9. S. Illinois
10. Wash. St.
11. Pitt
12. Memphis

Looks pretty good to me.

I think that Maryland, Texas, and Louisville have a chance to join this group before the end of the week if they get to their conference tourney finals.

You have it a bit off. Lunardi's actual Nitty-Gritty Report (an Insider exclusive) rates them in this order:

No. 1 Seeds

UCLA
OHIO STATE
KANSAS
FLORIDA

No. 2 Seeds

Wisconsin
NORTH CAROLINA
GEORGETOWN
Texas A&M

No. 3 Seeds

MEMPHIS
Pittsburgh
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Washington St

No. 4 Seeds

Maryland
Texas
UNLV
NEVADA

[NY Hoya]

current from realtimerpi:

1 UCLA 25-5
2 Ohio St. 28-3
3 North Carolina 26-6
4 Pittsburgh 27-6
5 Wisconsin 28-4
6 Southern Ill. 26-6
7 Florida 27-5
8 Memphis 29-3
9 Georgetown 25-6
10 UNLV 25-6

playing Pitt on a neutral court shouldn't hurt, particularly after we beat them....

[brooklynhoya]

Let's hope the court is, at worst, neutral, at best, overflowing with blue and gray.