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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Jan 9, 2020 16:20:49 GMT -5
Agree with everything said but want to emphasize that he is a big time rebounder. He is terrific grabbing contested rebounds in traffic. Yes, Pickett's rebounding has been very solid. This year, his offensive rebounding rate is 7.9, compared to 3.0 last year and 2.4 his freshman year. His defensive rebounding is also solid, 15.3% defensive rebounding rate, 14.1 last year, and 12.8 as a freshman. His shooting has also quietly been much stronger. He's shooting 41.9% from three, compared to 35.6% last year, and 35.7% freshman year. To be fair, he's only taken 31 shots so far, and took 101 last year, so he's probably shooting fewer threes. I'd like to see him shoot more. On twos, he's shooting 47.3%, compared to 41.6% last year and 37.1% last year. His assist rate is down a little, but I'm not concerned since your PF is typically not going to get many assists. On defense, he's obviously improved. His block percentage is actually down a bit from last year, but a healthy 3.3, he's also fouling less which is key given our lack of depth, and he's also getting to the line a good bit more, too, plus he's shooting free throws much better this year (73.3% to 60.6% last year). Really the only area where I think Pickett has shown no improvement is turnovers. His turnover rate is still high at 24.2 (compared to 24.5 last yer, and 24.4 in freshman year). It's really the main thing keeping his efficiency down, as everything else is much improved. Even with the turnovers, his efficiency now (99.1) is much higher than last year (87.1) or freshman year (89.2). If he cut down turnovers, on that basis alone, his efficiency would easily vault into the 100s.
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Post by michaelgrahmstylie on Jan 9, 2020 17:25:57 GMT -5
Pickett has re-arranged his whole game. His first year he was like a spotty or streaky shooter from three. I remember in the Big East tournament that year he looked completely lost out there. Starting last year, and especially this year, he has grown tremendously. He is now a much more versatile player. His defense is solid, rebounding, blocking shots. His offense is a thing of beauty compared to his freshman year. I have always had faith in Pickett. Love him as a player; and it seems that Mac does too.
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Post by iheartdurenbros on Jan 9, 2020 18:31:15 GMT -5
"It's all about his confidence and letting the game to come to him, as he develops his skills." I think I agree, he catches hell on this board, but some pros, like Len Elmore see the talent and projectory. Len was bigtime at UMCP long ago. I still think JP is growing taller while developing. His shot is like a rocket launch. His footwork has improved. He's becoming more patient, maybe too patient. But, I'm happy he's in our team and progressively developing. I hope his confidence is growing, we certainly are depending on him more. Coach is talking to him maybe more patiently in the...I only see this on TV. We need him to do what he is doing...I'm happy for him! Hope KD is sharing words of wisdom with him. Every player catches hell on this board. I sit above the bench so I notice alot of the coaches' interactions. It's pretty clear that he and Ewing have a good relationship now. Kirby has always been active with him. Lately, it seems that Pickett has really bonded with Crouch. If any of you follow both of them on IG, you will see that Pickett and Crouch often tag each other.
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tashoya
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Post by tashoya on Jan 9, 2020 21:26:14 GMT -5
Agree with everything said but want to emphasize that he is a big time rebounder. He is terrific grabbing contested rebounds in traffic. Yes, Pickett's rebounding has been very solid. This year, his offensive rebounding rate is 7.9, compared to 3.0 last year and 2.4 his freshman year. His defensive rebounding is also solid, 15.3% defensive rebounding rate, 14.1 last year, and 12.8 as a freshman. His shooting has also quietly been much stronger. He's shooting 41.9% from three, compared to 35.6% last year, and 35.7% freshman year. To be fair, he's only taken 31 shots so far, and took 101 last year, so he's probably shooting fewer threes. I'd like to see him shoot more. On twos, he's shooting 47.3%, compared to 41.6% last year and 37.1% last year. His assist rate is down a little, but I'm not concerned since your PF is typically not going to get many assists. On defense, he's obviously improved. His block percentage is actually down a bit from last year, but a healthy 3.3, he's also fouling less which is key given our lack of depth, and he's also getting to the line a good bit more, too, plus he's shooting free throws much better this year (73.3% to 60.6% last year). Really the only area where I think Pickett has shown no improvement is turnovers. His turnover rate is still high at 24.2 (compared to 24.5 last yer, and 24.4 in freshman year). It's really the main thing keeping his efficiency down, as everything else is much improved. Even with the turnovers, his efficiency now (99.1) is much higher than last year (87.1) or freshman year (89.2). If he cut down turnovers, on that basis alone, his efficiency would easily vault into the 100s. Excellent info. Thanks for posting it. With regard to the part I highlighted, while he does make some bone-headed passes at times, his handle is still not what he needs it to be. But, judging by all of the other areas he's improved, I wouldn't bet against him tightening that up too. It's a lot of fun to watch a guy improve. I hope it all comes together for him sooner than later. Not only would it be very good for his team but also for the staff in regard to being able to point to him as an example of what they can do with a player. Most importantly, I hope he meets and exceeds the expectations set for him early on for his own sake. While I don't know the man, he seems like a team guy and a worker and I love those things about him. I'd love to see all of his work pay off hugely for him.
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Post by centercourt400s on Jan 10, 2020 10:24:32 GMT -5
Yes, Pickett's rebounding has been very solid. This year, his offensive rebounding rate is 7.9, compared to 3.0 last year and 2.4 his freshman year. His defensive rebounding is also solid, 15.3% defensive rebounding rate, 14.1 last year, and 12.8 as a freshman. His shooting has also quietly been much stronger. He's shooting 41.9% from three, compared to 35.6% last year, and 35.7% freshman year. To be fair, he's only taken 31 shots so far, and took 101 last year, so he's probably shooting fewer threes. I'd like to see him shoot more. On twos, he's shooting 47.3%, compared to 41.6% last year and 37.1% last year. His assist rate is down a little, but I'm not concerned since your PF is typically not going to get many assists. On defense, he's obviously improved. His block percentage is actually down a bit from last year, but a healthy 3.3, he's also fouling less which is key given our lack of depth, and he's also getting to the line a good bit more, too, plus he's shooting free throws much better this year (73.3% to 60.6% last year). Really the only area where I think Pickett has shown no improvement is turnovers. His turnover rate is still high at 24.2 (compared to 24.5 last yer, and 24.4 in freshman year). It's really the main thing keeping his efficiency down, as everything else is much improved. Even with the turnovers, his efficiency now (99.1) is much higher than last year (87.1) or freshman year (89.2). If he cut down turnovers, on that basis alone, his efficiency would easily vault into the 100s. Excellent info. Thanks for posting it. With regard to the part I highlighted, while he does make some bone-headed passes at times, his handle is still not what he needs it to be. But, judging by all of the other areas he's improved, I wouldn't bet against him tightening that up too. It's a lot of fun to watch a guy improve. I hope it all comes together for him sooner than later. Not only would it be very good for his team but also for the staff in regard to being able to point to him as an example of what they can do with a player. Most importantly, I hope he meets and exceeds the expectations set for him early on for his own sake. While I don't know the man, he seems like a team guy and a worker and I love those things about him. I'd love to see all of his work pay off hugely for him. Yes, Pickett is still turnover prone but interestingly the type of turnovers seems to have evolved. In years 1 & 2 anytime he would dribble there was an excellent chance he would get stripped, dribble the ball off his leg or just lose the handle vs any kind of pressure. I don't see those turnovers so much any more. What I see now are careless or poor passes being picked off. He has problems with entry passes, inbounding (passing and receiving), and with any kind of passes in transition, while he seems to be ok with passing on the perimeter when running the normal offense. I actually think this evolution represents something of an improvement despite the similar numbers. He's more involved in the offense and his mistakes come from that involvement, not from him acting on his own trying too hard or doing something he shouldn't be doing. If he can cut down turnovers he'll be well on his way to being the impact player we all hoped he would be when he started.
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jwp91
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Post by jwp91 on Jan 10, 2020 10:32:12 GMT -5
Excellent info. Thanks for posting it. With regard to the part I highlighted, while he does make some bone-headed passes at times, his handle is still not what he needs it to be. But, judging by all of the other areas he's improved, I wouldn't bet against him tightening that up too. It's a lot of fun to watch a guy improve. I hope it all comes together for him sooner than later. Not only would it be very good for his team but also for the staff in regard to being able to point to him as an example of what they can do with a player. Most importantly, I hope he meets and exceeds the expectations set for him early on for his own sake. While I don't know the man, he seems like a team guy and a worker and I love those things about him. I'd love to see all of his work pay off hugely for him. Yes, Pickett is still turnover prone but interestingly the type of turnovers seems to have evolved. In years 1 & 2 anytime he would dribble there was an excellent chance he would get stripped, dribble the ball off his leg or just lose the handle vs any kind of pressure. I don't see those turnovers so much any more. What I see now are careless or poor passes being picked off. He has problems with entry passes, inbounding (passing and receiving), and with any kind of passes in transition, while he seems to be ok with passing on the perimeter when running the normal offense. I actually think this evolution represents something of an improvement despite the similar numbers. He's more involved in the offense and his mistakes come from that involvement, not from him acting on his own trying too hard or doing something he shouldn't be doing. If he can cut down turnovers he'll be well on his way to being the impact player we all hoped he would be when he started. Yes, and many of those passes are aggressive attempts to feed a teammate for an easy score. He has good vision, but the execution is not always flawless. In many cases, I like what he is trying to do but it just doesn't work out.
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rhw485
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Post by rhw485 on Jan 10, 2020 11:07:39 GMT -5
I’m very torn on Pickett’s development, it’s really whether you choose to be glass half empty or glass half full. I do think the context of a position change is required either way.
Yes, he's put in the work as he grows up and is clearly stronger. He's also playing power forward this year so is inherently spending more time around the hoop. So it makes sense his defensive rebounding went up, and I imagine he has more freedom to go after offensive rebounds due to court balance and other guys having defensive transition responsibilities, not to mention a center who commands a double team. But he clearly has a skill here that didn’t magically happen overnight and has evolved his game.
In terms of shooting, yes his shot does look better. He's also trying to create less shots for himself and really takes primarily stand still, catch and shoot jumpers. Have not seen a materially leap in his off the dribble shooting.
For defense, his block rate has improved partly because, again, he's closer to the hoop due to his role. I'm sure he's gotten smarter about anticipating stuff, but again it's really tough to separate from the position change. When he has to check anyone on the perimeter, I haven't seen any material improvements. We didn't ask him to guard Stevens on PSU. The one possession he got stuck on Hughes (Cuse), he was baited into fouling a 3 pt shooter. The one time he got isolated w Diallo, he went right by him for a lefty layup. He’s probably the 4th best defender (Mosely, Allen, Wahab ahead of him) in a 7 man rotation on a team that can’t break 90th in defensive efficiency. Individual defensive performance is probably one of the toughest things to analyze. Has Allen been the defensive wizard his numbers at UCF last year projected? Tough to say but probably no.
And really the turnover rate kind of speaks to the fact that when he's asked to create or do more than be a catch and shoot player, he has the same issues. He got stripped in the 1st half going for a mid range pull up, and he committed a charge trying to attack a closeout in 2nd half (terrible call, but still)
This reads harsher than intended, I think he can be a perfectly valuable college stretch 4 if he stays within his game. That’s extremely useful when surrounded with all league players like Yurtseven and McClung
Pickett's big man (rebounding, blocking) skills have improved, while his perimeter (ball handling / shot creation) have not. Our coach is one of the premiere big men to ever play the game. Very interested to see if Pickett takes the leap we’ve all been hoping for with an offseason working w Crouch
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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Jan 10, 2020 12:57:55 GMT -5
Two quick things:
(1) Pickett's block rate is actually down compared to last season. This year, it's 3.3% and last year it was 4.7%.
(2) This year, Pickett is averaging 2.81 3 point shot attempts per 40 minutes played. Last year, he averaged 5.52 three point attempts per 40 minutes played. That is really a significant difference, because it means Pickett is taking MANY fewer three point shots than last year. Now, this could be good, because his shooting percentage has gone up from 35.6% to 41.9%, which is great, but it's also bad in the sense that because he takes fewer shots, his impact is less. I'd like to see Pickett's shot attempts go up a bit, and see if he can maintain that higher shooting rate (or something close).
For perspective: many people look at Mosely as a low volume shooter, and yet this year he's shooting 6.68 threes per 40 minutes, compared to 4.81 last year. So, Pickett's three point shooting volume this season is really, really, low.
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Post by professorhoya on Jan 10, 2020 13:36:36 GMT -5
I’m very torn on Pickett’s development, it’s really whether you choose to be glass half empty or glass half full. I do think the context of a position change is required either way. Yes, he's put in the work as he grows up and is clearly stronger. He's also playing power forward this year so is inherently spending more time around the hoop. So it makes sense his defensive rebounding went up, and I imagine he has more freedom to go after offensive rebounds due to court balance and other guys having defensive transition responsibilities, not to mention a center who commands a double team. But he clearly has a skill here that didn’t magically happen overnight and has evolved his game. In terms of shooting, yes his shot does look better. He's also trying to create less shots for himself and really takes primarily stand still, catch and shoot jumpers. Have not seen a materially leap in his off the dribble shooting. For defense, his block rate has improved partly because, again, he's closer to the hoop due to his role. I'm sure he's gotten smarter about anticipating stuff, but again it's really tough to separate from the position change. When he has to check anyone on the perimeter, I haven't seen any material improvements. We didn't ask him to guard Stevens on PSU. The one possession he got stuck on Hughes (Cuse), he was baited into fouling a 3 pt shooter. The one time he got isolated w Diallo, he went right by him for a lefty layup. He’s probably the 4th best defender (Mosely, Allen, Wahab ahead of him) in a 7 man rotation on a team that can’t break 90th in defensive efficiency. Individual defensive performance is probably one of the toughest things to analyze. Has Allen been the defensive wizard his numbers at UCF last year projected? Tough to say but probably no. And really the turnover rate kind of speaks to the fact that when he's asked to create or do more than be a catch and shoot player, he has the same issues. He got stripped in the 1st half going for a mid range pull up, and he committed a charge trying to attack a closeout in 2nd half (terrible call, but still) This reads harsher than intended, I think he can be a perfectly valuable college stretch 4 if he stays within his game. That’s extremely useful when surrounded with all league players like Yurtseven and McClung Pickett's big man (rebounding, blocking) skills have improved, while his perimeter (ball handling / shot creation) have not. Our coach is one of the premiere big men to ever play the game. Very interested to see if Pickett takes the leap we’ve all been hoping for with an offseason working w Crouch Disagree. Freshmen year he could be down low 90% of the time and he still couldn’t grab rebounds, even against much smaller opponents.
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rhw485
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Post by rhw485 on Jan 10, 2020 14:18:20 GMT -5
I’m very torn on Pickett’s development, it’s really whether you choose to be glass half empty or glass half full. I do think the context of a position change is required either way. Yes, he's put in the work as he grows up and is clearly stronger. He's also playing power forward this year so is inherently spending more time around the hoop. So it makes sense his defensive rebounding went up, and I imagine he has more freedom to go after offensive rebounds due to court balance and other guys having defensive transition responsibilities, not to mention a center who commands a double team. But he clearly has a skill here that didn’t magically happen overnight and has evolved his game.
In terms of shooting, yes his shot does look better. He's also trying to create less shots for himself and really takes primarily stand still, catch and shoot jumpers. Have not seen a materially leap in his off the dribble shooting. For defense, his block rate has improved partly because, again, he's closer to the hoop due to his role. I'm sure he's gotten smarter about anticipating stuff, but again it's really tough to separate from the position change. When he has to check anyone on the perimeter, I haven't seen any material improvements. We didn't ask him to guard Stevens on PSU. The one possession he got stuck on Hughes (Cuse), he was baited into fouling a 3 pt shooter. The one time he got isolated w Diallo, he went right by him for a lefty layup. He’s probably the 4th best defender (Mosely, Allen, Wahab ahead of him) in a 7 man rotation on a team that can’t break 90th in defensive efficiency. Individual defensive performance is probably one of the toughest things to analyze. Has Allen been the defensive wizard his numbers at UCF last year projected? Tough to say but probably no. And really the turnover rate kind of speaks to the fact that when he's asked to create or do more than be a catch and shoot player, he has the same issues. He got stripped in the 1st half going for a mid range pull up, and he committed a charge trying to attack a closeout in 2nd half (terrible call, but still) This reads harsher than intended, I think he can be a perfectly valuable college stretch 4 if he stays within his game. That’s extremely useful when surrounded with all league players like Yurtseven and McClung Pickett's big man (rebounding, blocking) skills have improved, while his perimeter (ball handling / shot creation) have not. Our coach is one of the premiere big men to ever play the game. Very interested to see if Pickett takes the leap we’ve all been hoping for with an offseason working w Crouch Disagree. Freshmen year he could be down low 90% of the time and he still couldn’t grab rebounds, even against much smaller opponents. Sorry I was not trying to say that there is zero improvement (bolded points where I tried to mention that). I'm just saying especially between sophomore and junior year, when you look at the numbers there's some needed context. I love analytics but they require context.
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Post by ewingitrust on Jan 10, 2020 19:29:20 GMT -5
The Pickett we saw against St. John's is the one we'll see going forward. The key is his confidence...i like the fact he was put into more positions for him to score and he got his shot attempts up.
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jwp91
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Post by jwp91 on Jan 10, 2020 20:09:35 GMT -5
The Pickett we saw against St. John's is the one we'll see going forward. The key is his confidence...i like the fact he was put into more positions for him to score and he got his shot attempts up. I hope so, but I think we’ve learned that inconsistency is part of whom Pickett is today
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Post by michaelgrahmstylie on Jan 10, 2020 22:02:26 GMT -5
The Pickett we saw against St. John's is the one we'll see going forward. The key is his confidence...i like the fact he was put into more positions for him to score and he got his shot attempts up. Wholeheartedly agree with you. You can just see the confidence growing. No hesitation, great selection of shots.
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seaweed
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Post by seaweed on Jan 11, 2020 0:53:26 GMT -5
A lot harder to find Pick scoring opps when he is playing the 3. At the 4, he has a more natural post up and stretch game. Hopefully we continue to see him get more designed scoring looks inside as we go forward and that opens up his O boarding game as well. If we ever get Pick and Omer working in unison in the post, fuhgetaboutit!
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EtomicB
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Post by EtomicB on Jan 17, 2020 16:55:21 GMT -5
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blueandgray
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Post by blueandgray on Jan 17, 2020 17:25:55 GMT -5
Good things happen when he takes it to the hole. He’s got to do more of that.
Jamorko....if you are reading this, although your finger roll is a thing of beauty....occasionally go for the dunk when you have the lane. It’s there for you!!
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dchoya72
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Post by dchoya72 on Jan 17, 2020 18:52:13 GMT -5
Good things happen when he takes it to the hole. He’s got to do more of that. Jamorko....if you are reading this, although your finger roll is a thing of beauty....occasionally go for the dunk when you have the lane. It’s there for you!! I go for that. I think he's concerned about charging!
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dchoya72
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Post by dchoya72 on Jan 19, 2020 8:29:34 GMT -5
He has consistently been working the boards inside. Like others I encourage him to let it fly,he has earned the right to take the shots. He is thinking a little too much. He is also dribbling to take it inside...He is improving!
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vv83
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Post by vv83 on Jan 19, 2020 11:08:19 GMT -5
Pickett has worked hard on his game, and has made himself a good defender, decent rebounder, and solid "Catch and shoot" three point shooter. But any time he puts the ball on the floor or has to make a quick decision in any kind of traffic, I cringe. If he does not turn the ball over/force up a really bad shot in those situations - it's a win. Maybe he'll develop his ability to create for himself and others, but he has not made much progress in this area in 2.5 seasons. Right now, he is most effective when he moves the ball quickly to a very open teammate any time he does not have a wide open catch/shoot 3. He'll make a really impressive drive or turnaround jumper once or twice a game, and occasionally throw a pretty pass. But he'll force a bad miss or turn the ball over far more often. I hate to be negative - Pickett clearly buys into Ewing's coaching style. he has worked hard to improve, and he has not let some benchings and hard coaching discourage him (unlike some of the guys who transferred out in November). But right now, he still hurts us more than he helps us when he tries to become a playmaker on offense.
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Post by FrazierFanatic on Jan 19, 2020 11:10:09 GMT -5
Good things happen when he takes it to the hole. He’s got to do more of that. Jamorko....if you are reading this, although your finger roll is a thing of beauty....occasionally go for the dunk when you have the lane. It’s there for you!! I go for that. I think he's concerned about charging! He got bumped pretty hard going into the lane on his first or second shot yesterday, ended up with an off balance shot that missed. I think that made him tentative. But 10 and 8 are respectable totals, especially when his defense is added in.
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