This Just In
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
Bold Prediction: The Hoyas will win at least 1 BE game in 2023.
Posts: 10,592
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Post by This Just In on Feb 3, 2015 13:49:58 GMT -5
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Elvado
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 6,080
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Post by Elvado on Feb 3, 2015 14:16:05 GMT -5
I would take that right now. There is a legitimate path to the Elite 8 in that bracket.
Of course, as we know, there is also a potential first round flame out
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Post by FrazierFanatic on Feb 3, 2015 14:25:12 GMT -5
Heck no - I have tickets to the East Regional, to watch the Hoyas win on Magoo Court.
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Elvado
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 6,080
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Post by Elvado on Feb 3, 2015 14:32:37 GMT -5
Fair enough my friend. Make sure you are caught up on your shots...
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Post by FrazierFanatic on Feb 3, 2015 14:58:56 GMT -5
Going withe the hazmat suit. Plus a vial of holy water to sprinkle on my seat.
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richfame
Diamond Hoya (over 2500 posts)
Posts: 3,266
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Post by richfame on Feb 3, 2015 18:08:34 GMT -5
I would not take that draw. I really believe we can be 3 or 4 seed if we play right.
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Post by hoyasaxa18 on Feb 3, 2015 18:10:46 GMT -5
Eamonn Brennan (ESPN) released his first Bubble Watch of the year. He has the Hoyas in the "Work Left to do" category, which in my opinion sells us short (I think we should be in the "Should be in" category), but his writeup is pretty positive for our prospects. Georgetown [15-6 (7-3), RPI: 19, SOS: 8] On the court, John Thompson III's team has occasionally looked better than its results suggest. On its nitty-gritty page, the opposite is true. Georgetown's RPI (19) and schedule numbers (top-10 overall, with a top-five nonconference SOS) evince a high single-digit seed. A couple of factors are at work here. For one, the Hoyas have yet to lose to anyone ranked anywhere close to outside the RPI top 50; their "worst" losses have come to Providence and Xavier, both of whom the RPI adores. Likewise, Georgetown really did schedule well, playing just five teams ranked outside the top 150. The result is a good and still-improving team that is already boasting a legitimately great resume. It's an excellent position to be in. sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch
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KHoyaNYC
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,900
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Post by KHoyaNYC on Feb 3, 2015 20:54:12 GMT -5
We do have work left to do in the sense that we still need to win more games to be assured of a berth. We will be a 99% lock if we win 4 more, and it can really be any combo of 4 wins. Win 5 of our last 8, and it's 100% March Madness.
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Post by westendhoya on Feb 3, 2015 21:09:28 GMT -5
We do have work left to do in the sense that we still need to win more games to be assured of a berth. We will be a 99% lock if we win 4 more, and it can really be any combo of 4 wins. Win 5 of our last 8, and it's 100% March Madness. I think that threshold is probably a bit lofty..... .500 in the Big East gets us in 100%
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Post by RockawayHoya on Feb 3, 2015 21:48:24 GMT -5
I know it's par for the course given the source, but I love how there are multiple comments on that Bubble Watch for BE teams having "inflated RPIs" because they decided not to play cupcakes in the OOC and actually play in a difficult conference, and so because of that they get docked in terms of what category they fall in (lock vs. should be in vs. work to do). For example, what is the difference between us and Northern Iowa that causes us to be divided into two different categories? Every year we talk about bubble teams being left out of the tourney because they didn't challenge themselves from a scheduling perspective. Shouldn't these teams be getting credit for going out and actually playing quality teams? My guess is that the committee will do exactly that. And finally, for those who still haven't found their way to this site, I suggest you do so we don't have to start entire threads on why "Bracketologist X has a negative bias towards us, so let me talk about why I think Bracketologist X sucks." It's not worth the aggravation. www.bracketmatrix.com
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This Just In
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
Bold Prediction: The Hoyas will win at least 1 BE game in 2023.
Posts: 10,592
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Post by This Just In on Feb 3, 2015 22:45:53 GMT -5
Looking at Joe Lundardi's bracket prediction, that draw for the Hoyas is tough 2 match-ups to get to an Sweet 16. Hoyas are #6 Seed and would face #11 Tulsa, whom appears to be under seeded. Currently, Tulsa is on an 11 game streak. If the Hoyas can get past Tulsa and the seeding holds true, then the next opponent would be #3 Notre Dame.
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Post by johnnysnowplow on Feb 3, 2015 23:16:27 GMT -5
Looking at Joe Lundardi's bracket prediction, that draw for the Hoyas is tough 2 match-ups to get to an Sweet 16. Hoyas are #6 Seed and would face #11 Tulsa, whom appears to be under seeded. Currently, Tulsa is on an 11 game streak. If the Hoyas can get past Tulsa and the seeding holds true, then the next opponent would be #3 Notre Dame. Please, pretty please, let us play an over-seeded Notre Dame. PLEASE!
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njhoya78
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 7,769
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Post by njhoya78 on Feb 4, 2015 0:25:01 GMT -5
Tulsa has won eleven straight games, but only five of those wins have been against teams with records better than .500: Incarnate Word (12-6), Temple (15-7), Memphis (13-8), Connecticut (11-9) and Tulane (13-9). Otherwise, they been fortunate enough to play South Florida twice (7-15), Missouri State (9-13), Central Florida (9-12), Houston (9-12) and East Carolina (9-12); not exactly running the gauntlet. I don't think Tulsa is under-seeded. They did beat Creighton, though.
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KHoyaNYC
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,900
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Post by KHoyaNYC on Feb 4, 2015 8:08:16 GMT -5
We do have work left to do in the sense that we still need to win more games to be assured of a berth. We will be a 99% lock if we win 4 more, and it can really be any combo of 4 wins. Win 5 of our last 8, and it's 100% March Madness. I think that threshold is probably a bit lofty..... .500 in the Big East gets us in 100% Unfortunately not true. A 9-9 conference record would potentially put our RPI in the low to mid 40s. That's bubble territory, particularly if we lose in the first round of the BET.
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KHoyaNYC
Golden Hoya (over 1000 posts)
Posts: 1,900
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Post by KHoyaNYC on Feb 4, 2015 9:06:06 GMT -5
Another way to look at it: through 2012, only one team received an at large berth with 17 wins and that was Alabama in 2006.
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Post by dungeon ball on Feb 4, 2015 9:57:50 GMT -5
Another way to look at it: through 2012, only one team received an at large berth with 17 wins and that was Alabama in 2006. This reminds me, aren't we playing less games this season than most teams? Could this in anyway hurt our stock if it comes to it?
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Post by BubbleVisionBiff on Feb 4, 2015 10:04:33 GMT -5
We are only playing 29, plus the BET. Most teams are playing 30 or 31 before their conference tourney.
There's an odd week off between @shu and vs. SJU. Biut not like we could have found an OOC opponent that late in the season. Given that we are already at 10 games while VU is at 8, I guess it is just a quirk in the schedule.
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GUJook97
Platinum Hoya (over 5000 posts)
Posts: 5,445
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Post by GUJook97 on Feb 4, 2015 10:19:55 GMT -5
I know it's par for the course given the source, but I love how there are multiple comments on that Bubble Watch for BE teams having "inflated RPIs" because they decided not to play cupcakes in the OOC and actually play in a difficult conference, and so because of that they get docked in terms of what category they fall in (lock vs. should be in vs. work to do). For example, what is the difference between us and Northern Iowa that causes us to be divided into two different categories? Every year we talk about bubble teams being left out of the tourney because they didn't challenge themselves from a scheduling perspective. Shouldn't these teams be getting credit for going out and actually playing quality teams? My guess is that the committee will do exactly that. And finally, for those who still haven't found their way to this site, I suggest you do so we don't have to start entire threads on why "Bracketologist X has a negative bias towards us, so let me talk about why I think Bracketologist X sucks." It's not worth the aggravation. www.bracketmatrix.comYeah, it makes complete sense to schedule a bunch of hard teams in OOC. Even if each team only wins 1-2 games, our entire conference benefits and that is exactly what is happening. It's also a factor of having only a 10 team conference, which was one of the reasons I liked our move. OTOH, I do have to agree that by the eye test, Im not so sure that the BE is as good as the RPIs indicate. Im pretty surprised that SJU and SHU are in the top 50 and Xavier in the top 25. I dont know about that. That said, the goal is to find a way to get your conference as many teams in the tourney as possible. Last year, the A10 has 6, I think, and everyone complained, but it did give Dayton a chance to go deep. That's what we need. Of course, Gtown is going to be that team!
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This Just In
Blue & Gray (over 10,000 posts)
Bold Prediction: The Hoyas will win at least 1 BE game in 2023.
Posts: 10,592
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Post by This Just In on Feb 4, 2015 10:27:00 GMT -5
I do not believe that #3 Notre Dame is under-seeded. They do have 4 Top 50 RPI wins vs 2 Top 50 RPI Losses & 1 Top 100 RPI loss at Pittsburgh Both Joe Lunardi and SB Nation believe that Notre Dame will fall at the #3 line. SB Nation's prediction has Gtown @ #5 and facing the winner of Illinois /Tennessee. And then face #4 Iowa St. if the seeding holds true. SB Nation's Bracket Prediction
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ksf42001
Silver Hoya (over 500 posts)
Posts: 901
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Post by ksf42001 on Feb 4, 2015 10:38:13 GMT -5
I know it's par for the course given the source, but I love how there are multiple comments on that Bubble Watch for BE teams having "inflated RPIs" because they decided not to play cupcakes in the OOC and actually play in a difficult conference, and so because of that they get docked in terms of what category they fall in (lock vs. should be in vs. work to do). For example, what is the difference between us and Northern Iowa that causes us to be divided into two different categories? Every year we talk about bubble teams being left out of the tourney because they didn't challenge themselves from a scheduling perspective. Shouldn't these teams be getting credit for going out and actually playing quality teams? My guess is that the committee will do exactly that. And finally, for those who still haven't found their way to this site, I suggest you do so we don't have to start entire threads on why "Bracketologist X has a negative bias towards us, so let me talk about why I think Bracketologist X sucks." It's not worth the aggravation. www.bracketmatrix.comScheduling is something that JTIII has always been good at, because he doesn't just focus on the headline opponents. While we do have 1-3 of those every year, the reason we always seems to have a good RPI and SOS is the non-headline games. Gtown very rarely schedules teams that are predicted to be in the 200+ range of RPI. It always seems to be teams predicted to finish 1st through 3rd in their mid/lower major conference. The only two teams Gtown played this year with 200+ RPIs were Corpus Christi and Towson, though Towson was good for our RPI last time we played. Compare that to Maryland, who played 7 200+ RPI teams in non-conference...
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