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Post by glidehoyas (Inactive) on Jan 30, 2018 7:23:22 GMT -5
I'm not a negative person. I take and enjoy my life one day at a time. One game at a time. Pls keep the negativity to yourself thanks. What's really sad is how negative people can be. Geez, lighten up. Notice I began my post by conveying that it saddens me to say this. I wasn't trying to be snarky or negative just honest. Every team we play for the rest of the year is objectively better than us. I will be at the Seton Hall and Providence home games. I'm not going to see them lose. I'll be cheering like crazy if I have anything to cheer for. I predicted 7 BE wins this year and it kills me to have to concede that I was wrong. But having watched every game this year, like most of us, I can't see us beating anyone on our remaining schedule but Marquette and maybe Providence. Please don't confuse this honesty with negativity. GO HOYAS! I'm not mad or nothing like that I was just giving my opinion. To me it's being negative especially after a hard fought game by the Hoyas. I don't care about teams being better than us. I'm looking at this from a coaches/players stand point. I cannot go into games thinking otherwise. Enjoy the rest of the season. Let it play out. We wait so long for college hoops during the spring, summer and fall months. I don't care about all of what you wrote. You look at it from a fans stand point that's cool, so please respect how I feel as well. Thanks.
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This Just In
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Post by This Just In on Jan 30, 2018 9:21:45 GMT -5
If you have been a 1 Seed & 2 #2 Seeds and you have 1 Elite 8 to show for it, that is not playing up to your seeding level. Bennett's style works in the Regular Season, but we know that slower pace teams struggle in the NCAAT especially if they fall into a deficit. We have seen the results with this program in 2010 (#3) vs Ohio, 2011 (#6) vs VCU (Final 4), 2013 (#2) vs FGCU (Sweet 16), the games got sped up and the team did not respond. Also, I know we are talking Virginia but our real program goal should be Villanova, multiple Final Four's and National Championships. It’s important to remember the NCAA tournament is a one game elimination format where anything can happen. Let’s say a team is an 80% favorite to win a game - that’s still 2 of 10 times the better team loses. I still say it’s a lot harder to consistently get to the NCAA in good position (in other words, a high seed) than to actually win the games once you’re there because in the actual tournament luck and variance play a huge role in the result. I would take Bennett’s record any day. I also disagree that slower paced teams have NCAA problems. A ton of slow teams (look at Villanova, 274 of 351 in tempo the year they won the championship) have plenty of success. A team plays 12 games and goes 4-8 (.333) in a single tournament over 8 years or goes 0-8 (.000) over 8 years at chance to win 2 gms in a row. You consider this bad luck, poor coaching, or something else?
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This Just In
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Post by This Just In on Jan 30, 2018 9:38:26 GMT -5
If you have been a 1 Seed & 2 #2 Seeds and you have 1 Elite 8 to show for it, that is not playing up to your seeding level. Bennett's style works in the Regular Season, but we know that slower pace teams struggle in the NCAAT especially if they fall into a deficit. We have seen the results with this program in 2010 (#3) vs Ohio, 2011 (#6) vs VCU (Final 4), 2013 (#2) vs FGCU (Sweet 16), the games got sped up and the team did not respond. Also, I know we are talking Virginia but our real program goal should be Villanova, multiple Final Four's and National Championships. Virginia was a one seed and lost to a four seed by two points in the sweet sixteen. They were a two seed and lost to a seven by six points in the second round. And they were a one seed and lost by six in the elite eight. (Last year, they were a five and played precisely to seed.) The second round loss as a two was disappointing. The other two? Hard to pin any "they can't win with that style" statements based on those results. It's wildly different from what Georgetown did under III More generally, it is simple math. The better your seed, the more difficult it is to play to seed. Virtually no one that is consistently a top seed plays to seed! What about Duke? They've "played to or above seed" only three times in the last thirteen years! Why? Because they're virtually always a top four seed, and it's extremely hard to win two or three games in a row all the time. Fundamentally disagree. If you are a #1 seed the tournament is setup for you to play a #16 followed by the winner of the #8/#9 match-up. That is a game that the #1 should win. Then you play the winner of the #4/#5 and then the #2/#3, but at least till the Sweet 16, the #1 team has a favorable match-up. Even if you are the #2 seed you are playing a #15 then the winner of the #7/#10 seed, still a favorable match-up to get to the tournament. For Duke, yes Duke has been under performing in the tournament, but they do have a couple of Final 4's and rings to make up for those years of under performance also.
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This Just In
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Post by This Just In on Jan 30, 2018 9:39:49 GMT -5
If you have been a 1 Seed & 2 #2 Seeds and you have 1 Elite 8 to show for it, that is not playing up to your seeding level. Bennett's style works in the Regular Season, but we know that slower pace teams struggle in the NCAAT especially if they fall into a deficit. We have seen the results with this program in 2010 (#3) vs Ohio, 2011 (#6) vs VCU (Final 4), 2013 (#2) vs FGCU (Sweet 16), the games got sped up and the team did not respond. Also, I know we are talking Virginia but our real program goal should be Villanova, multiple Final Four's and National Championships. Well, Nova had early round exits too, including last year. There were complaints about Wright and Nova bouncing out prematurely too often as a high seed before their NCAA championship run two years ago. NCAA is a crap shoot. Virginia has done well for themselves. Either program is model for any program who wants success consistently. Wright has been coaching at NOVA longer. A team plays 12 games and goes 4-8 (.333) in a single tournament over 8 years or goes 0-8 (.000) over 8 years at chance to win 2 gms in a row. You consider this a crap shoot, bad luck, poor coaching, or something else?
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This Just In
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Post by This Just In on Jan 30, 2018 10:20:31 GMT -5
In your original post you mentioned how you're waiting for a kid to step away from blue bloods and choose PE/Gtown so the ball would get rolling, I personally feel PE already has the ball rolling recruiting wise with the 2018 class.. Kyle Guy is a very good player but he wasn't being chased by blue bloods and last year he was a role player for UVA.. To me LeBlanc is a similar type of recruit to Kyle Guy or De'Andre Hunter, McClung & Carter are similar to Isaiah Wilkins or Devon Hall.. So again the Gtown staff does have it rolling imho.. Guy and Jerome are Top 50 guards. We have nothing now or committed that is anywhere close to them. Based on what you are saying we are looking at a 4th straight year of a sub .500 record in the BE.
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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Jan 30, 2018 10:31:58 GMT -5
It’s important to remember the NCAA tournament is a one game elimination format where anything can happen. Let’s say a team is an 80% favorite to win a game - that’s still 2 of 10 times the better team loses. I still say it’s a lot harder to consistently get to the NCAA in good position (in other words, a high seed) than to actually win the games once you’re there because in the actual tournament luck and variance play a huge role in the result. I would take Bennett’s record any day. I also disagree that slower paced teams have NCAA problems. A ton of slow teams (look at Villanova, 274 of 351 in tempo the year they won the championship) have plenty of success. A team plays 12 games and goes 4-8 (.333) in a single tournament over 8 years or goes 0-8 (.000) over 8 years at chance to win 2 gms in a row. You consider this bad luck, poor coaching, or something else? I am a little confused by your hypothetical, especially without additional information. For example, let's say there's a particularly dominant MEAC/SWAC team that makes the tournament year after year as a 16 seed. If that team went 0-8 over 8 years I would say it's not luck, it's that they are bad. In contrast, if your seed is between let's say 4 and 8, the odds of losing 8 consecutive years are miniscule. Just by pure luck, you're going to win a game from time to time. There is a huge amount of variation involved. The NCAA tournament is an absolutely horrible way to pick the best team as a champion, however, it is absolutely brilliant in being quick, exciting, and drawing a ton of interest from people who typically pay no attention to college basketball. This is why the NBA, MLB, and NHL play Best of 7 (or a combination of Best of 5 and 7) series to determine their champion. Absolutely anything can happen in one game elimination. Here's a good example from the NBA finals: 2017: Warriors win first game and championship. 2016: Warriors win first game, lose championship. 2015: Warriors win first game and championship. 2014: Spurs win first game and championship. 2013: Spurs win first game, lose championship. 2012: OKC wins first game, lose championship. 2011: Heat win first game, lose championship. 2010: Lakers win first game, win championship. So across 8 years, if the NBA championships were decided by only the first game, the champion would have been different 4 of the 8 years.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 30, 2018 12:22:01 GMT -5
On Bennet's recruiting philosophy.... Interesting stuff
Tony Bennett has his team on the cusp of a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament thanks to, what could be, the most efficient and dominant defense that the college game as seen in decades. Can this success and a statement win at Duke change the outlook for the Wahoos in the eyes of recruits? It sure can but then again, it is not like Virginia is a flash in the pan. The program is on track to win its third ACC title in the last five years and finish in the final top-12 of the KenPom rankings for the fifth-straight year.
What Virginia will always do under Bennett is emphasize fit over rankings in recruiting. They would love nothing more than to lock down five-star big man Armando Bacot or top-60 center Oscar Tshiebwe within the 2019 class, but Virginia has never been about trying to plug a circle through a square hole.
Take the 2018 class, for example. Virginia was heavily in the mix for elite scorer Noah Locke but instead took the commitment of long-term shooting wing and Australian native Cody Stattmann. The same could be said at the lead guard spot with Jared Butler. Virginia was in the thick of the race for the Rivals150 guard but Bennett had an inkling that three-star guard Kihei Clark would make for a better fit, and took Clark before Butler could decide.
Virginia continues to change the perception of its program in the eyes of college prospects, something that might nudge some of its top junior targets to take a deeper look at the program in Charlottesville.
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Post by FrazierFanatic on Jan 30, 2018 12:33:08 GMT -5
I'm confused - I could have sworn we played Creighton Saturday, but apparently we played Virginia since that is the only discussion I have seen the last few hours??🤔
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justsaying
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Post by justsaying on Jan 30, 2018 12:47:37 GMT -5
I'm confused - I could have sworn we played Creighton Saturday, but apparently we played Virginia since that is the only discussion I have seen the last few hours??🤔 Agreed.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 30, 2018 13:10:33 GMT -5
I find it interesting but are you guys saying we should create another thread for it?
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the_way
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Post by the_way on Jan 30, 2018 13:46:30 GMT -5
A team plays 12 games and goes 4-8 (.333) in a single tournament over 8 years or goes 0-8 (.000) over 8 years at chance to win 2 gms in a row. You consider this bad luck, poor coaching, or something else? I am a little confused by your hypothetical, especially without additional information. For example, let's say there's a particularly dominant MEAC/SWAC team that makes the tournament year after year as a 16 seed. If that team went 0-8 over 8 years I would say it's not luck, it's that they are bad. In contrast, if your seed is between let's say 4 and 8, the odds of losing 8 consecutive years are miniscule. Just by pure luck, you're going to win a game from time to time. There is a huge amount of variation involved. The NCAA tournament is an absolutely horrible way to pick the best team as a champion, however, it is absolutely brilliant in being quick, exciting, and drawing a ton of interest from people who typically pay no attention to college basketball. This is why the NBA, MLB, and NHL play Best of 7 (or a combination of Best of 5 and 7) series to determine their champion. Absolutely anything can happen in one game elimination. Here's a good example from the NBA finals: 2017: Warriors win first game and championship. 2016: Warriors win first game, lose championship. 2015: Warriors win first game and championship. 2014: Spurs win first game and championship. 2013: Spurs win first game, lose championship. 2012: OKC wins first game, lose championship. 2011: Heat win first game, lose championship. 2010: Lakers win first game, win championship. So across 8 years, if the NBA championships were decided by only the first game, the champion would have been different 4 of the 8 years. On top of that, there is more parity in college basketball than ever. Outside of Duke and Kentucky, the gap has narrowed between the big boys, mid-tier power 5 schools, and mid-majors.
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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Jan 30, 2018 14:11:08 GMT -5
On top of that, there is more parity in college basketball than ever. Outside of Duke and Kentucky, the gap has narrowed between the big boys, mid-tier power 5 schools, and mid-majors. This is very true. Oftentimes, the 1 and even 2 seeded teams are exceptional, but there's a lot of parity among the seeds in various ranges. Yes, on average a 2 should be better than a 3, etc., but it's really an extremely small difference. There are frequently instances where a lower seed is a favorite in the Las Vegas odds, KenPom, etc., which is either because the teams are that close in quality or because of poor seeding. I think that people take seeding way too literally in evaluating success. A good example was when Georgetown was a 4 and Utah was a 5 - some people said we didn't play to our seed (which I suppose is literally true), yet Utah was widely regarded as the slight favorite going into the game. Even in comparing a 6 to an 8, for example, the teams often are of very similar qualities. And even a 5 or 6 seed isn't often that much better than a 10, for example. Plus, while I think it has gotten better in recent years, you often get teams that simply are seeded poorly by the NCAA tournament. Not to make excuses but a great example is the Stephen Curry Davidson team, which was a 10 seed, which was a ludicrous seeding for that team. That, combined with letting Davidson play in what amounted to a semi-home game in North Carolina made that "upset" an upset mostly because of the poor seeding and not the quality of the teams involved.
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Post by FrazierFanatic on Jan 30, 2018 16:17:12 GMT -5
I find it interesting but are you guys saying we should create another thread for it? Just joshing - since the Creighton game is history the thread will still probably recede down the list once the UVA discussion runs its course.
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hoyarooter
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Post by hoyarooter on Jan 31, 2018 21:56:22 GMT -5
I haven't been on the board in a few days, so I'll go back to the Creighton game. I don't get CBSSN, and had some errands to run, so I skipped following the game on the computer. In all honesty, I expected a blowout. Major props to our guys for fighting back from a big deficit again, but no props for failing to make the plays down the stretch (although it's one thing to fail to close out DePaul at home, and something else altogether to fail to close out Creighton on the road). I was truly shocked to see that we were only one point behind with three and a half minutes left.
What's up with Jesse?
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This Just In
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Post by This Just In on Feb 2, 2018 9:52:57 GMT -5
A team plays 12 games and goes 4-8 (.333) in a single tournament over 8 years or goes 0-8 (.000) over 8 years at chance to win 2 gms in a row. You consider this bad luck, poor coaching, or something else? I am a little confused by your hypothetical, especially without additional information. For example, let's say there's a particularly dominant MEAC/SWAC team that makes the tournament year after year as a 16 seed. If that team went 0-8 over 8 years I would say it's not luck, it's that they are bad. In contrast, if your seed is between let's say 4 and 8, the odds of losing 8 consecutive years are miniscule. Just by pure luck, you're going to win a game from time to time. There is a huge amount of variation involved. The NCAA tournament is an absolutely horrible way to pick the best team as a champion, however, it is absolutely brilliant in being quick, exciting, and drawing a ton of interest from people who typically pay no attention to college basketball. This is why the NBA, MLB, and NHL play Best of 7 (or a combination of Best of 5 and 7) series to determine their champion. Absolutely anything can happen in one game elimination. Here's a good example from the NBA finals: 2017: Warriors win first game and championship. 2016: Warriors win first game, lose championship. 2015: Warriors win first game and championship. 2014: Spurs win first game and championship. 2013: Spurs win first game, lose championship. 2012: OKC wins first game, lose championship. 2011: Heat win first game, lose championship. 2010: Lakers win first game, win championship. So across 8 years, if the NBA championships were decided by only the first game, the champion would have been different 4 of the 8 years. We are talking NCAA's, so why use NBA teams as an example? The example I used was Georgetown's record for 8 years in the NIT & NCAA's 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015. 8 years-and 8 years of either losing in the 1st round or 2nd round. 12 games and goes 4-8 (.333) in a single tournament over 8 years or goes 0-8 (.000) over 8 years at chance to win 2 gms in a row. I remember when you kept insisting JTIII would be bound to make another Sweet 16 eventually if he kept getting there, but as we have found out that has not happened and if he does it will not be as the coach of the Hoyas. Question for you, do you think JTIII would have made another Sweet 16 if he would have stayed the head coach? I believe the NCAA is not as much a crap shoot as some people insist it is. Therefore, I am willing to put that theory to test. It is right now Feb. 2nd I can pick 4 teams right now out of 68 (5.8% chance of being right), with the belief that at 1 of the teams will make the Final Four/Win the National Championship. This means that I am taking these 4 teams and will give everyone else the field. I can pick all 4 teams right now, or we can take turns, but we can't pick the same teams. For example, my 1st pick is Duke, which means you can't pick Duke as pick. If you wish you can get the 1st pick and we can alternate or I can just give you my 4 teams to make a Final Four and belief that 1 of them will win the championship.
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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Feb 2, 2018 11:22:56 GMT -5
We are talking NCAA's, so why use NBA teams as an example? The example I used was Georgetown's record for 8 years in the NIT & NCAA's 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015. 8 years-and 8 years of either losing in the 1st round or 2nd round. 12 games and goes 4-8 (.333) in a single tournament over 8 years or goes 0-8 (.000) over 8 years at chance to win 2 gms in a row. I remember when you kept insisting JTIII would be bound to make another Sweet 16 eventually if he kept getting there, but as we have found out that has not happened and if he does it will not be as the coach of the Hoyas. Question for you, do you think JTIII would have made another Sweet 16 if he would have stayed the head coach? I believe the NCAA is not as much a crap shoot as some people insist it is. Therefore, I am willing to put that theory to test. It is right now Feb. 2nd I can pick 4 teams right now out of 68 (5.8% chance of being right), with the belief that at 1 of the teams will make the Final Four/Win the National Championship. This means that I am taking these 4 teams and will give everyone else the field. I can pick all 4 teams right now, or we can take turns, but we can't pick the same teams. For example, my 1st pick is Duke, which means you can't pick Duke as pick. If you wish you can get the 1st pick and we can alternate or I can just give you my 4 teams to make a Final Four and belief that 1 of them will win the championship. My point was that in a single-elimination format anything can happen. That was the purpose of showing that if the NBA Finals were a 1 game elimination, the results would have been different than in reality. One game elimination simply isn't a good way of choosing the "best" team, but it is a great way to garner interest, TV ratings, etc. I do think that if a coach continually gets the team to the NCAA tournament with high seeds, that they would eventually make a Sweet 16. Would JT3 have continued to do that? I don't know. I would have given him another year to find out, but obviously I am in a super minority on that point. As for your point, of course you can look at the best teams out there and say they are the most likely teams to make the Final Four. Generally, the better a team, the more likely they are to make it. But, keep in mind that only 4 teams make the Final Four, and even if you only look at the 1 and 2 seeds, that's 8 excellent teams, and 50% of them (at least, likely more) don't make it. If there comes a time when Georgetown has a top 5 team in the country, I'll say that we are likely (but definitely not certain) to make it far into the tournament. As for the JT3 stuff, I've written tons on that and don't wish to revisit it other than what I said above. It really doesn't matter now. What we need now is for Ewing to have success.
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This Just In
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Post by This Just In on Feb 2, 2018 17:29:15 GMT -5
We are talking NCAA's, so why use NBA teams as an example? The example I used was Georgetown's record for 8 years in the NIT & NCAA's 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015. 8 years-and 8 years of either losing in the 1st round or 2nd round. 12 games and goes 4-8 (.333) in a single tournament over 8 years or goes 0-8 (.000) over 8 years at chance to win 2 gms in a row. I remember when you kept insisting JTIII would be bound to make another Sweet 16 eventually if he kept getting there, but as we have found out that has not happened and if he does it will not be as the coach of the Hoyas. Question for you, do you think JTIII would have made another Sweet 16 if he would have stayed the head coach? I believe the NCAA is not as much a crap shoot as some people insist it is. Therefore, I am willing to put that theory to test. It is right now Feb. 2nd I can pick 4 teams right now out of 68 (5.8% chance of being right), with the belief that at 1 of the teams will make the Final Four/Win the National Championship. This means that I am taking these 4 teams and will give everyone else the field. I can pick all 4 teams right now, or we can take turns, but we can't pick the same teams. For example, my 1st pick is Duke, which means you can't pick Duke as pick. If you wish you can get the 1st pick and we can alternate or I can just give you my 4 teams to make a Final Four and belief that 1 of them will win the championship. My point was that in a single-elimination format anything can happen. That was the purpose of showing that if the NBA Finals were a 1 game elimination, the results would have been different than in reality. One game elimination simply isn't a good way of choosing the "best" team, but it is a great way to garner interest, TV ratings, etc. I do think that if a coach continually gets the team to the NCAA tournament with high seeds, that they would eventually make a Sweet 16. Would JT3 have continued to do that? I don't know. I would have given him another year to find out, but obviously I am in a super minority on that point. As for your point, of course you can look at the best teams out there and say they are the most likely teams to make the Final Four. Generally, the better a team, the more likely they are to make it. But, keep in mind that only 4 teams make the Final Four, and even if you only look at the 1 and 2 seeds, that's 8 excellent teams, and 50% of them (at least, likely more) don't make it. If there comes a time when Georgetown has a top 5 team in the country, I'll say that we are likely (but definitely not certain) to make it far into the tournament. As for the JT3 stuff, I've written tons on that and don't wish to revisit it other than what I said above. It really doesn't matter now. What we need now is for Ewing to have success. I am inquiring if you are willing to take me up on my offer, it is Feb. 2nd and I will pick 4 teams which gives me a 5.8% chance at success of picking a Final Final 4 team and a National Championship. I get your point in a single elimination anything can happen though I on the other hand believe given years of seeing a team's performance in the NCAAT a person can predict how the team will perform in the tournament. With that said, I can pick 4 teams right now and you can pick 4 teams and we can follow their performance thru the rest of the year or I can pick all 4 right now. Just let me know. Not directed particular at you but a general statement: Kevin Keatts has done an excellent job at NC State. The last 2 years in the ACC 9-27 very close to the Gtown's 12-24 BE record. Now NC State is 15-7, 5-4 in the ACC with a road win over #10 N. Carolina last Saturday. Definitely wish the Hoyas would have let JTIII go earlier last year so that they could have grabbed Kevin Keatts.
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hoyarooter
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Post by hoyarooter on Feb 2, 2018 20:27:44 GMT -5
My point was that in a single-elimination format anything can happen. That was the purpose of showing that if the NBA Finals were a 1 game elimination, the results would have been different than in reality. One game elimination simply isn't a good way of choosing the "best" team, but it is a great way to garner interest, TV ratings, etc. I do think that if a coach continually gets the team to the NCAA tournament with high seeds, that they would eventually make a Sweet 16. Would JT3 have continued to do that? I don't know. I would have given him another year to find out, but obviously I am in a super minority on that point. As for your point, of course you can look at the best teams out there and say they are the most likely teams to make the Final Four. Generally, the better a team, the more likely they are to make it. But, keep in mind that only 4 teams make the Final Four, and even if you only look at the 1 and 2 seeds, that's 8 excellent teams, and 50% of them (at least, likely more) don't make it. If there comes a time when Georgetown has a top 5 team in the country, I'll say that we are likely (but definitely not certain) to make it far into the tournament. As for the JT3 stuff, I've written tons on that and don't wish to revisit it other than what I said above. It really doesn't matter now. What we need now is for Ewing to have success. I am inquiring if you are willing to take me up on my offer, it is Feb. 2nd and I will pick 4 teams which gives me a 5.8% chance at success of picking a Final Final 4 team and a National Championship. I get your point in a single elimination anything can happen though I on the other hand believe given years of seeing a team's performance in the NCAAT a person can predict how the team will perform in the tournament. With that said, I can pick 4 teams right now and you can pick 4 teams and we can follow their performance thru the rest of the year or I can pick all 4 right now. Just let me know. Not directed particular at you but a general statement: Kevin Keatts has done an excellent job at NC State. The last 2 years in the ACC 9-27 very close to the Gtown's 12-24 BE record. Now NC State is 15-7, 5-4 in the ACC with a road win over #10 N. Carolina last Saturday. Definitely wish the Hoyas would have let JTIII go earlier last year so that they could have grabbed Kevin Keatts. I doubt that we would have hired Kevin Keatts regardless.
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Post by hoyasaxa2003 on Feb 3, 2018 15:55:30 GMT -5
My point was that in a single-elimination format anything can happen. That was the purpose of showing that if the NBA Finals were a 1 game elimination, the results would have been different than in reality. One game elimination simply isn't a good way of choosing the "best" team, but it is a great way to garner interest, TV ratings, etc. I do think that if a coach continually gets the team to the NCAA tournament with high seeds, that they would eventually make a Sweet 16. Would JT3 have continued to do that? I don't know. I would have given him another year to find out, but obviously I am in a super minority on that point. As for your point, of course you can look at the best teams out there and say they are the most likely teams to make the Final Four. Generally, the better a team, the more likely they are to make it. But, keep in mind that only 4 teams make the Final Four, and even if you only look at the 1 and 2 seeds, that's 8 excellent teams, and 50% of them (at least, likely more) don't make it. If there comes a time when Georgetown has a top 5 team in the country, I'll say that we are likely (but definitely not certain) to make it far into the tournament. As for the JT3 stuff, I've written tons on that and don't wish to revisit it other than what I said above. It really doesn't matter now. What we need now is for Ewing to have success. I am inquiring if you are willing to take me up on my offer, it is Feb. 2nd and I will pick 4 teams which gives me a 5.8% chance at success of picking a Final Final 4 team and a National Championship. I get your point in a single elimination anything can happen though I on the other hand believe given years of seeing a team's performance in the NCAAT a person can predict how the team will perform in the tournament. With that said, I can pick 4 teams right now and you can pick 4 teams and we can follow their performance thru the rest of the year or I can pick all 4 right now. Just let me know. Not directed particular at you but a general statement: Kevin Keatts has done an excellent job at NC State. The last 2 years in the ACC 9-27 very close to the Gtown's 12-24 BE record. Now NC State is 15-7, 5-4 in the ACC with a road win over #10 N. Carolina last Saturday. Definitely wish the Hoyas would have let JTIII go earlier last year so that they could have grabbed Kevin Keatts. ThisJustIn, your odds are a little off. I know you get the 5.8% by dividing 4 into the field of 68 teams, but it's not that simple. A high percentage of the 68 teams have absolutely no chance at winning the title or making the Final Four. In fact, Villanova as an 8 in 1985 was the lowest seed to ever win, and three 11 seeds have made the Final Four. So yes, if you pick a handful of teams ranked in the top 10 right now, your odds of hitting one that will make the Final Four are decent (and probably higher than 5.8%). You're basically saying that you can look at the teams that have generally been the best and predict some of them will make the Final Four, and I don't disagree with that. On Keatts, I agree. Our coaching search and process of firing JT3 (including not interviewing anyone else basically) was atrocious.
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